That's my pick too. I think it'll be a pretty good fight, closely tested, with Cotto winning 7-5 on most objective cards.
Cotto a 3/1 underdog, not sure why. He should win outboxing Canelo on the backfoot with his jab and throwing combinations on the inside. I see canelo's right hand missing as Cotto shoulder roll lean out the way after his jab. Canelo could drop Cotto but he would need a clean unexpected shot.