Scoring for ~ ESB's BIG FIGHT PICKS ~ Prediction League

I was hoping Amsterdam wouldn't come in here with the horrid "clean sweep" idea. :| That was the only bad thing about the predictions league last year.

The ribbon system is a very good idea.

The final idea is just plain discrimination against the champion.

 

Option B is my prefered method of scoring. How can the first week work properly though without first knowing the scoring criteria?

 

Well... since picking something like the DLH-Forbes winner is not that much of a hard job, I'd like to suggest to give extra points for those who dare to pick THE UNDERDOG!

Just imagine: posters constantly and rightfully predicting 50-50 fights and Quintana-like upsets would get the biggest recognition anyway because picking 100 safe winners is not as good as picking 10 upsets IMO!

SO MORE POINTS FOR THE HARDER PICKS!



My suggestion:

We should name an internet betting source to see the actual odds and use those odds as the indicator for extra points.

Let's see some examples, Bwin's betting on:

Hopkins-Calzaghe:
Joe Calzaghe (WAL) 1.36
X 23.00
Bernard Hopkins (USA) 3.10

Klitschko-Ibragimov:
Wladimir Klitschko (UKR) 1.20
X 27.00
Sultan Ibragimov (RUS) 4.30

Duddy-Smitchet:
John Duddy (NIR) 1.05
X 29.00
Walid Smichet (TUN) 9.00



Of corse there are odds for round pick, stoppage or not stoppage, we could use those too.

That system is FAIR because it's safe to bet on a Malignaggi points or Klitschko KO win.



So... let's say 10 points in default x BWIN odds:
Picking the favorit Calzaghe: 10 x 1,36 = 13,6 points
Picking underdog Hopkins: 10 x 3,10 = 31 points
Picking Ibragimov: 10 x 4,30 = 43 points



So in the end the very expert/very lucky guy who can pick the 50/50 and underdog fights as well would get the most points, and THAT's FAIR!

What do you think?

 

Well, you have to count a lot anyway, but this method is actually easier.

All You have to do is count in the odds when you are making the thread or the post and you can write down the final points in the first place like this:

Guys, choose you winner:
Calzaghe: 13,6p
Hopkins: 31p
Calzaghe on points ...
Hopkins inside distance ...
Other fights ...

Finding and counting in the odds takes just 10 seconds and everybody can read the scores in your first post of your thread as you can write the points next to the names when you make the thread/post.

In the end of the day u are making mathematics anyway, but it's more fair for a guy who rightfully picks the Quintanas.

 

Those methods up there are much more complicated. Of course it's just my suggestion...

 

I like A or C....C seems abit more simple

 

It swept you to being a Champ, didnt IT? Remember that I told ya it'll likely end up in a similar grouping as last time. This year however I hope to CHANGE THE ORDER!!!:yep #2 Just aint GOOD ENOUGH:nono

Tie a Blue Ribbon, round the OLD OAK TREE!!!!:guitar :silly :good

On the final note, ****, let em take turns:good

 

Yes, 31 if Hopkins wins, just 13,6 if Calzaghe, because most think that Calzaghe will win and if you somehow can smell the 'upset' less people seem to see, you should get more credit for that.

The problem with the other systems: it's easy to get a lot of points just picking the very big favorites to win - like Bute in the Joppy fight. But you have to agree with this- if somebody somehow smells an upset and picks Joppy, and somehow Joppy wins... you have to give more credit to the guy then who picks Bute and Bute wins... because EVERYBODY knows Bute will win.

I think a guy shouldn't get more points predicting 10 easy fights then a guy who predicts just 5, but 5 really tough one.



We don't have to use the betting odds. How about ESB's own polls? But you have to convert it into odds form.

The main thing: give the guy more recognition/points if he smells the upset nobody else seem to see coming. And odds/polls are good indicators for that.