I thought you didn't wanna complicate matters by getting into other comparisons? Obviously there's no result that can't happen, it all comes down to what you'd expect to happen come fight night.
the ko1 pick was actually the other way, my bad. i stated my thoughts on betting at those odds, i never even mentioned actual probability outside of 'tiny tiny chance', which you are right was a vague statement. if you want me to guestimate i would go with moore stopping him once in 20 or so. (I don't have enough money to bet purely on value and potentially wait weeks between wins whilst whittling down my bankroll on perceived value in bets that i don't think have a reasonable chance of winning. if i had that much money i would be retired and wouldn't bet in the first place.) tbh i hold archie in reasonably high esteem as a hw contender in general, obviously he could beat some of the ranked hw's in any era. i like him more in his own time as his size and age were smaller handicaps than they would be in, say, the 90's-00's. i'm not sure that my pick on an individual fight has much to do with that tho. especially when i am not denying that moore could win, i just see moore ko as one of the least likely results based on the quality of briggs chin/toughness and the fact he was a big puncher so archie will have to be more carefull than he was against, for example, durelle. rocky was a stylistic/physical step too far for moore, and moore couldn't stop him when he did land a great shot, obviously rocky and briggs aren't very similar, but in terms of matching archie up with a dangerous hw puncher with a chin i think that is a relevant consideration.
Moore on points, most likely. Briggs has got a great chin, he's not getting stopped. He's also got huge power; if Moore lapsed in concentration, he could end up smeared all over the canvas.
I think that's a reasonable assessment. Moore would have to be on the ball for this one. Assuming he was, I'd favour him for a points win.
Like I said, I don't know another about Eder Jofre, or his chances against unnamed welterweights, and since Moore DID fight Heavyweights it's not necessary to talk about little guys. I'm not really looking for a deep ana1ysis of Ali-Valuev, but your contention is clear enough : Unless a fighter has taken on bigger fighters and won then it's wrong to assume he'd win. The bigger man should be favoured. Therefore Valuev should be favoured over Ali ?
No not always. Boxing is a very much a case by case scenario. Hagler never ever moved up, but does that mean I shouldn't favour him over George Groves? Of course not. But would I favour him over Foster? No I wouldn't. Ali has a stylistic advantage over Valuev who is absolutely slow as molasses (I don't even know what a molass is btw). Holyfield, Haye and Chagaev all showed he could be out boxed by range and Ali is the best out boxer in the history of the division. Valuev wasn't aggressive, wasn't a quick starter and wasn't great at controlling range. His power was always a question mark and his defence was nil. These things are all about a combination of style, skill and size. Some styles are not meant for taking on bigger men, some are. I still can't fathom how Patterson failed to keep away from Liston. Moore had great success at LHW and some success at MW and HW. But what I've seen of him doesn't lead me to think he'd be able to hold off the attack of Briggs.
Archie Moore's style seems absolutely fine to deal with someone like Shannon Briggs. A great crab-shell defensive fighter, very hard to hit clean, crouching, weaving, slipping, a superb counter puncher, ample strength and power for his size, just under 6', and can easily carry 200+ pounds and be effective. His skills as as good as they get, and he was a KO artist in his own right. Briggs stood straight with his big head there to be punched, no real defensive game at all. He had a lot of power and good hand speed for his size, like all other powerful heavyweights in theory he could KO anyone if he delivers his best punch, but most of his bulk seemed to be a hindrance to him more often than not. Even against some of the bums he fought he didn't really seem to know what he was doing in a boxing sense, just a standard limited puncher. There's a reason he was not a top fighter in his prime.
You've put forward a great argument. I would love to picture Moore beating Briggs. Maybe I'll watch some footage of him against much bigger men. I've gone from favouring Briggs to win at 99% down to 80%. There's an element of doubt now. I do still think it's a huge ask though.
Fair enough. It's been a good debate but there's way too much talk about Shannon Briggs anyway, all over the boxing community, and now he's here in this classic forum. I loved some of his antics in recent years as much as anyone but it's shocking that he's still fighting and allowed to fight for titles. I fear he's going to get hurt.
When I saw he'd gotten a title shot I honestly couldn't believe it. He'll have to do some serious cherry picking to avoid getting hurt imo