Smatter underdog bet. (Cotto or Bradley)

Discussion in 'World Boxing Forum' started by ripcity, Apr 25, 2012.


  1. ripcity

    ripcity Obsessed with Boxing Full Member

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    Lets say for the sake of argument that you are picking Mayweather andPacquiao to win their upcoming fights with Cotto And Bradley, or if that like me what you expect to happen.
    If you were to take a chance on Cotto or Bradley either with your real money or vCash. Which one would it be? What would be the deciding factor? Would it be the odds? Would it be the greater chance of an upset?

    I would go with Bradley. I think his lack of power hurts him a lot, but other than that he's an even match for Pacquiao.
     
  2. Arcane

    Arcane One More Time Full Member

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  3. Boxing Fanatic

    Boxing Fanatic Loyal Member banned

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    yeah timmy. cotto has seen better days
     
  4. JMP

    JMP Champion Full Member

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    Bradley, although I don't think he'll win.
     
  5. bballchump11

    bballchump11 2011 Poster of the Year Full Member

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    I saw Floyd yesterday train and I read that Ariza left Pac's camp for whatever amount of time and I got to say Bradley is a wiser bet.

    Though Cotto is preparing very well, but I'm sure Bradley is as well
     
  6. Royal-T-Bag

    Royal-T-Bag Obsessed with Boxing Full Member

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    Bradley is the smarter bet by far
     
  7. Bad Boyz

    Bad Boyz Sportscenter Full Member

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  8. BigReg

    BigReg Broad Street Bully Full Member

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    Cotto. Cotto is the bigger underdog and therefore represents the bigger payoff. Not only that, but Mayweather is coming up in weight, is in his mid 30's, and has fought only 4 rounds in the last 2 years. Cotto is a big puncher, and does have a puncher's chance. Bradley does not have a puncher's chance. He's going up in weight, and is not a big puncher. It's going to be almost impossible for him to win a decision as well.

    Just look at the odds people. The saying goes that you're only as good as your last fight. I don't believe that is true, but the odds reflect this saying. Bradley is getting overvalued due to Pacquiao's perormance against Marquez. Cotto is getting undervalued due to Mayweather being pretty much flawless in his recent fights.

    The smart bet is on the man who has at least a puncher's chance, represents the bigger payout, and is being undervalued.
     
  9. slugger3000

    slugger3000 You Mad Bro? Full Member

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    Put your money on Cotto! Im only saying that because I never bet against Pac. I just can't.. I root for the guy and I wish him well!
     
  10. king khan

    king khan Boxing Junkie banned

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    That's a pretty good analysis. . .

    I still feel Bradley @ +400ish might be the better bet, than Cotto @ +600ish . . Bradley's style is pretty hard to deal with, and lack of power notwithstanding, he's got speed, defense, and awkwardness. . . I think the out of the ring dynamics like judging, reffing bias are actually about the same.
     
  11. allenko1

    allenko1 Well-Known Member Full Member

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    Bradley.

    Cotto's in for more of an uphill challenge...
     
  12. slugger3000

    slugger3000 You Mad Bro? Full Member

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    Cotto is going to bust Floyd up real bad!
     
  13. Ilesey

    Ilesey ~ Full Member

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  14. MEXICAN

    MEXICAN boxing fanatic Full Member

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  15. mr. piff

    mr. piff The Ring General Full Member

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    Money on Bradley - better chance to win, even thou I can understand the logic that big reg is conveying