In Listons second last bout he got knocked out by Leotis Martin, who had to retire afterwards with a detached retina. Sonny Liston then stopped Wepner in the 9th before he passed away. How would Liston have done in his career had Ali not come into the picture, and had he not died? How long would he hold onto the title? How would his career pan out?
Probably would have stayed champion to the late 60's. If Clay wasn't around, Jones, Cooper, Terrel and Chuvalo would have been his most logical contenders in 64-65. I don't see anyone of them upsetting him. More probably Quarry or Ellis in the late 60's. Frazier would be more stylistically vulnerable, but could outhustle an old Liston. Or Liston retires in say 1966.
It's a good question,clouded by the fact that Sonny was not the most diligent of trainers,had he remained in shape I think he would have retained the title until 67 and ,due to styles may well have been able to stop the then rising Frazier so he could have realistically added another 3/4 years to his reign imo. A more salient question might be, how long could he have reigned had he received a title shot against Floyd in 60 when he obviously deserved it? His wins over Williams ,Folley, Machen ,Harris, King could well have been title defences and his subsequent all time standing would be significantly enhanced. imo.
I think that he was heading for a fall personally. He was not training with any professionalism, and a James Douglas figure would have emerged from somewhere.
Had he kept his focus and trained accordingly ,who would have beaten him before 1967 at the earliest? I say no one.
I think in hindsight it's easy to imagine an upset looming. But I can also see the case where the first Ali bout took too much out of him emotionally. Liston in the first Ali bout looked fantastic. If that was anyone else in the 60's in there, he'd smoke them out. As unlikely as it is, do you guys see any chance that Liston holds onto the title long enough that Foreman takes it from him?
Yeah. Just fun to think about it. How long do you think he'd have to hold the title before having to face Foreman? What year do you think it would take place?
Except for against arguably the greatest HW ever that upset waited to happen until 1969. There just isn't much basis for this whole "upset waiting to happen thing". Yeah, you can probably find quotes from after the fact, but I don't think any of those people put any money on it. If so they would have made a nice penny. Liston was even a favorite for the rematch. So for people at the time he certainly wasn't an accident waiting to happen. But talking afterwards is always easy...
Liston’s training habits before the Ali fight, and indeed before the second Patterson fight, are very well documented. It was not just a case of explaining things away after the upset. As for the betting odds, the aura surrounding Liston at the time, was such that he would have been picked over a T rex.
It is not unthinkable that he could have beaten Ali if he had got his act together. Ali still had a bit to learn at the time IMHO. At least it wouldn’t have hurt to try!