I've rated it between 70/30 and 60/40 for a long time in AJs benefit, but I'm starting to reevaluate. AJ is the better boxer and almost as hard hitting. But I'm starting to think Wilders explosiveness, length, and timing is enough to make this a 50/50 fight or better. Plus, while I think if AJ just bum rushed Wilder early on like he did in his early career, that would pose problems for Wilder, I suspect AJ is going to take his time and bank rounds. Wilder will time him eventually if he does that. AJ is no Fury in either elusiveness or recovery, and AJ will get GTFO if he gets hit like Fury did.