STATS GURU: Pacquiao's Loss Was Almost Statistically Impossible

Discussion in 'World Boxing Forum' started by ahcef, Jun 12, 2012.


  1. randomwalk

    randomwalk Active Member Full Member

    1,035
    0
    Feb 25, 2010
    cool. i love stuff like this.
     
  2. Makes sense. Just from Round 5 and 8 alone the chances of two judges scoring both those rounds for Bradley is about the same odds 2500-1.
     
  3. ovechkin8crosby

    ovechkin8crosby Active Member Full Member

    807
    0
    Jul 4, 2011
  4. Hatesrats

    Hatesrats "I'm NOT Suprised..." Full Member

    60,376
    241
    Sep 28, 2007
  5. StreetsofRAGE

    StreetsofRAGE Ballin Full Member

    4,603
    0
    Feb 3, 2010
  6. markq

    markq Obsessed with Boxing Full Member

    20,453
    7
    Apr 26, 2010
    Yet people win the lottery!
     
  7. ramsgate-chap

    ramsgate-chap GURU Full Member

    238
    0
    Jul 18, 2008
  8. Robney

    Robney ᴻᴼ ᴸᴼᴻᴳᴲᴿ ᴲ۷ᴵᴸ Full Member

    93,128
    27,857
    Jan 18, 2010
    :lol:
    But like he said, it depends on multiple factors that he couldn't include in the actual calculation.

    We've seen here that about 90% scored it for Pac, 5% a draw and 5% for Bradley.
    If you take away 50% from the Bradley pickers that were essentially trolling you keep about 2.5% who actualy think he won, or are such a big Timmy fan or hate Pac that much they couldn't come up with a realistic score.

    That's about as much as the actual press who scored it for Bradley.

    So you can say the chance of Bradley winning outright was about 1 to 40 x2 (2 judges) = 1 to 80, not counting in the possibilty of corruption.
    (that's far from 1 to 3300)
     
  9. This content is protected


    This content is protected
     
  10. IntentionalButt

    IntentionalButt Guy wants to name his çock 'macho' that's ok by me

    401,394
    83,260
    Nov 30, 2006
    Statistical fact: 98% of stats are bull****.
     
  11. Robney

    Robney ᴻᴼ ᴸᴼᴻᴳᴲᴿ ᴲ۷ᴵᴸ Full Member

    93,128
    27,857
    Jan 18, 2010
    That means this statement has only 2% chance of being true! :lol:
     
  12. VARG

    VARG Boxing Junkie Full Member

    8,005
    0
    Oct 30, 2008
    What I found interesting was his suggestion of increasing the number of judges. Not only would that fix incompetent judging, but if you were to try and pay off 4 judges (double the number needed to get a normal decision) it would look TOO obvious. Beyond ridiculous. I mean if boxing wanted to truly sink itself into the grave, it would be like a jury convicting a clearly innocent man. It would be too messy and too many tracks to cover.

    I very much enjoy this idea and support it. An even better addition would be to have them seated at different areas around the ring.