Sturm was very lucky to get the draw in the first fight. He probably underestimated Griffin, and fought Griffins fight - mostly infight. Really, Sturm was near getting dominated for some rounds. Still, I think that Sturm will win the rematch. Because he is smart and will not make the same mistakes again. He knows what to expect from Griffin now, and he will adapt his gameplan to that. This time he will do what he does best, which is run, jab and clinch, not take any risks and get a close points decision. Just like he did in the Castillejo rematch..