Actualy contemporaries disagree with you. Louis himself for example said that Braddock was the hardest puncher he faced outside of Baer and he had fought a good few punchers by this stage.
Sounds like it might break all pay per view records then. At least your prediction avoids you loosing significant face whichever way it turns out.
I can't explain my selection logically because most indicators point to a Louis win, but I can *visualise* Foreman overpowering Louis. It's just a gut feel rather than anything based on analysis or data.
Louis faced far more impressive physical specimens (Buddy Baer, Primo Carnera... Max Baer was just as muscular as Foreman) and wasn't intimidated. In fact, Louis was NEVER intimidated or psychologically broken, which is more than one can say for Foreman. Louis is the one with the superior spiritual strength here. It's going to be Foreman trying to stare down an emotionless destroyer and failing. In many ways, it's Frazier-Foreman in reverse.
Still not a swarmer. In both the Frazier and Norton fights, he advanced flat-footed and pretty tentatively until his opponent was hurt. Foreman was a classic slugger, which was Louis's favourite style to face. I disagree, but I understand you have your axioms that are mentally hard to deviate from. Foreman may have the better chin, but as Wladimir Klitschko proved against Sam Peter, a chin is only a factor if it's hit. Foreman's style means that he's going to be hit far more than Louis, and given that Lyle was able to put Foreman down, Louis (one of the hardest hitters of all time) can definitely bounce Foreman off the ground like a yo-yo. People didn't rate Foreman's uppercut at the time. His best punch was considered to be his left hook. Indeed, most people thought that (given Ali's experience with uppercutting against Frazier) Frazier was the last person to use an uppercut against. Louis saw things in Foreman that no-one else did; THAT'S what proves he understood Foreman better than anyone.