The puncher’s chance thread.

A term used I boxing that basically says a fighter can be outclassed by his opponent, but if he has power and can land 1 or 2 big punches, he can pull off the upset win. While the term itself is accurate, there are various X factors that can increase or decrease the puncher's chance. Let’s have a thread to discuss them.

Increases on the puncher’s chance:


The skill level of the fighter. You have to be able to land it to the head or body

The fighter durability to take punches. Glass jaw type punchers often don’t last long enough to cash in on their punchers chance. A durable puncher is always in the fight.

The fighters conditioning and energy level. The more punches and better his ability to retain his power, the better.

Heart and Ring IQ. Some guys have great heart, and will put themselves in position to give them selves the best chance even if it means taking two to land one. Most fighters tend to fold a bit when losing and getting hit they opt of giving themselves the best chance to win.

Confidence. A must. The more you have the better.

Lack of reach. Range is important.

Weight division, the heavier the better.

Distance of the fight. The longer the better


Decrease’s on the puncher’s chance.


The opponents defensive skills, footwork, clinching and a fight controlling jab. What good is having a bomb if you can’t break though and land it?

The opponent’s durability. The more durable the opponent is, the more it diminishes the punchers chance.

The opponents conditioning and energy level. The more he has, the harder it is to land the bomb late.

The opponents Heart and Ring IQ. A man who never gives up is tough to beat and a smart fighter limits his opponents best weapon.

The opponents Confidence and nerves – The more the better and less chance of being caught cold.

The opponents excessive reach

Weight division. The lighter, the better

Distance of the fight, the shorter the better.