The reasons why I don't think Miguel Cotto will beat Manny Pacquiao

Cotto has a legit chance, IMO, if he can hurt Pacman to the body and keep himself from getting cut and having to play defense for a large portion of the fight. I'm interested to see if he cuts more easily now. If he allows Pacman to swarm him with volume without keeping him honest it could be a long night for him and a short night for us. I also think this fight will be a better true barometer of Cotto's chin than the tainted Margarito debacle.

 

cotto got a pretty good chance. 55-45 pac favor

 

It's harder physically to fight a strong, fulled sized welterweight like Clottey, than a smaller guy like Paq. Cotto's stamina will be better against Manny , if the fight does go into the later rounds.
Cotto's fought loads of world class southpaws, so thats not much of a factor. What will trouble Miguel the most is Manny's speed and punching angles.
Cotto will be physically stronger and more used to fighting at welterweight.
The question is, who will be better at exploiting the opponents weakness and capitalizing on their own advantages? Cotto controled a very quick Mosely with his jab for several rounds , and Shane is considerably bigger and stronger than Paq.
Manny hasn't fought anyone as big as Cotto, and it could be Manny slowing down in the later rounds as a result.
This is going to be a tough hill to climb for Paq. He'll have to use all the speed and punching angles he can muster, and hope he can offset Miguels jab, and avoid body shots and wrestling in the clinches. Against Cotto, that might be asking too much.

 

I expect Pacqiuao to jab, throw straight lefts and break Cotto's rhythm and disrupt his own jab. The big question mark for me is how will this two react to each others punches. Pac's very fast and obviously has good pop in his punches. Will Cotto see them coming? Also, after all he has accomplished, Pac hasn't really felt the punching power of a real ww. How will he react to it, will he even get hit? As of now I still give Pac the edge in this fight, but I do hope I'm wrong :yep

 

Comparing Hatton's defence to Cotto's defence is like comparing Harold Shipman to Mother Teresa.

 

Cotto is still pretty much primed, Hatton wasn't. Cotto has better punch resistance, far greater offensive composite punching skills, a better jab, hits the body better, and is harder to tag clean than Hatton is.

 

Aren't they both pretty rotten?

(I mean Shipman and Teresa btw)

 

Very true and funny.

I have a feeeling Pac man is going to come on very strong in the first 3 rounds. If Cotto can weather the storm and not get cut he may be able to slow pac man down with body punches, and slow down that amazing head movement that pac has. Then he may get more sucess with him punches.

I am not calling this fight as i find it very hard to.

As a percentage i give it 55%-45% in Pac mans favour.

 

If he can take the incoming and pounce on him ala Quintana then Pac could be in for a world of hurt. I will literally **** myself if that Cotto comes to fight.

 

Cotto has a good chance. he has the power to KO pac.

 

nonsense!

 

how much you put money on cotto...?