The top 10s chances of beating Usyk in ascending order

Numbers are certainly too low but if the point is that you wouldnt give more than a few fighters above, say 15%, then yeah.

 

Those chances are shitty!

 

bulked canelo 75%

 

Wow, way too low, Joyce and Hrgovic are criminally low. Where can I plays those odds, and you give Joshua no chace?

 

lewis 100%

 

Dillian Whyte: 5%
Anthony Joshua: 10% (30% pre Ruiz)
Andy Ruiz Jr: 1%
Murat Gassiev: 5%
Joseph Parker: 1%
Otto Wallin: 1%
Filip Hrgovic: 15%
Deontay Wilder: 5% (20% pre Fury)
Joe Joyce: 10%
Tyson Fury: 50%

This would be mine.

 

lol, Canelo isn`t good enough to beat someone as big and as skilled as Usyk, no way, just think what Usyk would have done to all Canelo`s opponents, Khan made Canelo look stupid at times and he was only 5.8.5 in height and only had a 71inch reach (one inch bigger than Canelo`s, compare him to the more skilled, 6`3 Usyk who has a 78 inch reach, no chance, Usyk has never beat a fighter with a reach like that.

 

30% 20%? Not sure they would have won more than 2-3 rounds each, AJ had slight success v Usyk and he`s morre skilled than Wilder don`t forget southpaw Ortiz was out-boxing Wildder twice before being caught.

 

lol! Usyk is far better than anybody Lewis beat.

 

AJ got completely out-classed.

 

Neither Wilder or Joshua is going to outbox Usyk, before their losses I would of given both a small chance of getting the KO if fighting aggressively. Now not so much.

 

no way, Usyk is far bette than Fury, all Fury will do is cheat and hold all the time.

 

This can be a comedy forum at times. I remember when Usyk was too small for HW, to getting koed in 1 by AJ.

There is no 0% in HW boxing. That just shows how little people here know about boxing. One punch can end a fight, people get injured etc.

Secondly, the error can't be higher than the level of measurement. You are measuring in 1% increments using a qualitative approach with no data. The best method would be a scale of 1 to 10, where 1 is very rare, and 10 is almost certain.

I can order from most likely to least likely and estimate a score, but I am not sure how good some of these fighters are, such as Hrgovic, so those will be based on extrapolation:

Otto Wallin: 1 - I don't rate him, but may be higher
Murat Gassiev: 1 - stylistically proven to struggle based on fight at CW
Deontay Wilder: 2 - technically terrible but lethal right hand that tends to land on tomato cans. Usyk too smart to get caught.
Dillian Whyte: 2 - not a great boxer but dirty and strong, which could be problematic
Joe Joyce: 3 - big boy with decent power. Don't see how he kos Usyk, which is his most realistic chance of winning.
Anthony Joshua: 3 - ex-champ with pedigree and evidence of turning things around. Don't think he can against Usyk, but he needs to leave it out there early and risk taking the ko to win himself.
Andy Ruiz Jr: 3 - good boxer and counter puncher with very solid chin. Will get outboxed.
Joseph Parker: 3 - gets lazy but has power and skills. Granite chin means he will last 12.
Filip Hrgovic: 4 - appears very sound and solid.
Tyson Fury: 5 - big tall and string undefeated champ. I've always said he us the hardest stylistical matchup for Usyk at HW.
Lennox Lewis: 8 - only lost when one punch koed. Unlikely to be in Usyk's arsenal. Very big, strong, and smart.