Those who are convinced Rigo beats Donaire: explain the odds.

Discussion in 'World Boxing Forum' started by Slothrop, Mar 21, 2013.


  1. Slothrop

    Slothrop Boxing Junkie banned

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    Yeah, they do. The house always wins over time.
     
  2. Milpitas

    Milpitas Guest

    Donaire is P4P #1 for a reason, he commands lots of respect.
     
  3. Slothrop

    Slothrop Boxing Junkie banned

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    He's not. Sorry.
     
  4. tliang1000

    tliang1000 Obsessed with Boxing Full Member

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    Nonito Donaire is -260

    Guillermo Rigondeaux is +200

    Looks about right to me.

    If you gamble often you will know that this line is brewing a storm for a possible upset. This is basically close to even money in real life.

    You need to know that Donaire is the more popular fighter so money tilts in his direction. More fan base, more boxing politic pull.

    Same skill level fighters with equal popular appeal is even money ( -120 vs -120)

    However, being popular + location will bump 100 to 200 points by itself.

    So TS... it seems that you are the one who DKSAB.

    Think about it.

    Oddsmakers KNOWS people are going to bet on Donaire bc he is more popular, people heard of him, and pinoys will support him and he is ONLY -260? HE IS AFFORDABLE. Why would the Oddsmaker make Donaire bettable???? Unless they know there is a good chance he will get beat. Sounds like he is in possible danger if you ask me.
     
  5. purephase

    purephase Boxing Junkie Full Member

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    Post the odds you're referring to. I sure as hell hope you weren't thinking of those ridiculous Donaire -1000 favorite figures quoted a few days ago since it's been demonstrated repeatedly that those numbers were not what this fight opened at from actual bookmakers. Rigondeaux is predictably the underdog but he's less of an underdog than any Donaire opponent since Montiel.
     
  6. tliang1000

    tliang1000 Obsessed with Boxing Full Member

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    Donaire is not ****ing 10-1 favorite. he is 2.5 - 1. People in ESB will believe anything i swear.
     
  7. tliang1000

    tliang1000 Obsessed with Boxing Full Member

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    And for the people who thinks the number is irrelevant.... they are wrong. The Oddsmakers are deadly accurate. They do mess up but generally they are spot on. You can find out the winner or a potential upset just by looking at the line.
     
  8. KillSomething

    KillSomething Boxing Junkie Full Member

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    The odds on Rigo are enticing and I will be taking them and making money. Rigo a G, Donaire brings nothing he hasn't seen before. Talking about a master boxer vs a master athlete here. This is boxing, therefore Rigo wins.
     
  9. Vidic

    Vidic Rest in Peace Manny Full Member

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    What are the odds?
     
  10. Milpitas

    Milpitas Guest

  11. Vidic

    Vidic Rest in Peace Manny Full Member

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  12. |A|C|S|

    |A|C|S| Boxing Junkie banned

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    Depends if you know your **** or not
     
  13. Jim Bowen

    Jim Bowen MARVELOUS Full Member

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    Because underdogs never win, and bookies always have their lines bang on right. Oh wait...
     
  14. RJJFan

    RJJFan Boxing Junkie banned Full Member

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    Donaire cannot make too many mistakes in this fight but Rigo cannot make ONE. Rigo has a much smaller margin of error than Donaire and thats what the bookies are looking at.