Spence will be hitting air all night, Brook stood right in front of his ass and boxed his ears off for 6 rounds, can you imagine how bad an elusive mover is going to make Swoll Nips look? Its pretty obvious by now that Spence isn't a one punch KO artist, Algieri said he doesn't hit as hard as Ruslan and IIRC your hero Pacquiao, and as evidenced last night, he doesn't have Machina like powah either. However if you stand in front of him like a dumbass and let him tee off on you non stop like Lamont, you're practically asking to be KO'd, or should I say RTD'd. But, But, But what about how well Earl cuts off the ring you may say... quite easily if you can't hurt him, and let's be honest here, when exactly has Algieri,. Bundu, Peterson, Van Heerden, Barrera, Lo Greco genuinely ever hurt anyone that hasn't been KO'd like 12 times previously? I'll answer that, they haven't. Danny Garcia has the epitome of an iron jaw, he wasn't trying to walk through Queef's power shots was he? Porter's chin is bonafide certified titanium, he was getting stopped in his tracks by some of Keith's counters. Keith may not exactly be one time, but guess who else wasn't either, Mayweather, Lara and Ward, but goddammit they have enough pop to keep you from gingerly walking through their power shots don't they? Well I'll go out on a limb and say, Thurman probably hits harder than Mayweather, and has more one punch KO power than Errol Spence Jr. If Errol wasn't all that eager to walk through Brook's counters, he won't be eager to walk through Thurman's either. If you're going to base some lamebrain theory on Collazo hurting Keith with a body shot, then the same should apply to Lartei Lartey knocking Errol's block nearly off and turning him into run time for the entire last round of their match.
If they fight next, I'll pick spence, only because One Time has been inactive. We will have to see how Thurman performs after a year lay off. But based on Thurman last performance against Garcia. It's 50-50 with slightly favouring Thurman on a decision. Thurman can punch and move, you can't stand in front of Spence cause he likes it close, so he can pound the body. Some of the body punches are borderline low aka SOG.
Just look how cautious Bundu was against Thurman. This content is protected Now look at how willing to take risks he was against Spence. This content is protected Yeah, his strategy against Spence got him brutally KO'd, well he tried the same strategy in the first against Thurman and got dropped, which dissuaded him from going all out the rest of the match.
It's definitely not a 50-50 fight anymore. Spence will go in as a solid betting favorite, especially if Thurman struggles against Jesse Vargas and Porter. As for the fight itself, I expect Spence to stop Thurman in 8-9.
I think if Runtime comes back the same fighter as he was against Garcia then he bears Nomaspenceko. But you can't guarantee that he will be the same, didn't DeGale have a similar shoulder injury and surgery and come back looking shot to bits.
I favor Spence, but a Thurman who finally realizes his potential would be a real threat. Spence beats the Thurman of the last couple fights though.
Spence is lookin' more and more like the truth to me. He's getting better and better. His body attack is savage and his punch selection is outstanding. Spence might not have better one shot power than Thurman (I'm gonna go with he absolutely does)... but every punch he throws seems to be very, very hard. Thurman will have success evading Spence in the early rounds, but he's gonna get caught against the ropes sooner or later. A few sequences of this is all Spence needs to break Thurman down. Swoll Nippleton makin' me a fan.
Styles make fights. Thurman's box and move style will not be easy for Spence. It's a 50/50 fight but I would lean Spence by decision due to being the more effective aggressor. That is, unless judges like Adelaide Byrd and Don Trella are judging. They obviously do not like effective aggression.
Not quite sure why so many people seem to have it in for Thurman. I guess he doesn't fit into the stereotypes that society at large likes to push.