If Tommy can’t beat Jake Paul he should hang up the gloves for good and focus on Instagram brand deals
All of this may be true, maybe Tommy Fury is complete sh*t and Paul-Fury will be a highly competitive fight that Tommy could easily lose. Then again, we need to consider the distinct possibility that Fury has been playing possum in his last couple of fights, not wanting to scare Jake Paul off. I thought the now 4-0 Paul beat the 39.5 year old, 4 fight losing streak Woodley 5-3 (even closer than that because Paul was dropped) and the judges gave Paul a close SD. The first journeyman Tommy fought was the now 10-113-3 light heavyweight Jevgenijs Andrejevs, who took him the 4 round distance. This is no disgrace as Andrejevs was not stopped in 108 of his 126 fights, including going the distance with future world cruiserweight champions Krzysztof Glowacki and Tony Bellew, dropping Bellew in the 4th. Tommy KO'd the now 0-30-2 Callum Ide in 94 seconds, dropping him twice. Ide has gone the distance in 28 of his 32 fights and went 308 seconds before being dropped and stopped by Jack Cullen: a 3 star Boxrec middleweight/SMW. Tommy TKO'd the now 2-29 Przemyslaw Binienda in 62 seconds, dropping him twice. Binienda has gone distance in 19 of his 31 fights and went the 6 round distance with Tom Dzemski: a 2 star LHW. Binienda was stopped in 316 seconds by Zak Chelli, a 2.5 star SMW. He was also stopped by the now inactive Norbert Nemesapati within two rounds, who was retired in 6 by former world champions Anthony Dirrell and Callum Smith and went the 10 round distance with 4 star LHW Umar Salamov. He was also stopped in 326 seconds by LHW Leon Bunn in his second pro fight: a currently inactive but likely 3/3.5 star fighter. Tommy TKO'd the now 0-21 Genadij Krajevskij in 356 seconds, dropping him once. Krajevskij has gone the distance in 16 of his 21 fights. Krajevskij was stopped in 1048 seconds by the now inactive LHW Bob Ajisafe, who gave Umar Salamov and Tony Bellew highly competitive fights. Tommy KO'd the now 0-20 Scott Williams in 305 seconds, forcing him to take a count and dropping him on route to the knockout. Williams has gone the distance in 16 of his 20 fights. We also need to bear in mind that journeymen are frequently robbed against fighters with even marginally more profile and hardly ever have close decisions go their way. So these guys he's been beating almost certainly aren't as bad as their records suggest. It's also possible that Paul-Fury is a rigged event but based on comparative performances and the bookies odds, Tommy Fury is a genuine boxer (albeit not a very good one but he must be improving at 22.5) and he should beat Jake Paul.
A journeyman might lose 100 four round fights and not get stopped then suddenly he's become much older and less durable thus starts hitting the canvas more. It would be easier for Fury to knockdown shopworn journeymen. The age difference is only two years between Jake and Tommy. Who knows how good they really are in boxing at that level due to the amount of active professionals. There's like 19k pro boxers. If you're beating part time boxers who take fights on short notice and who don't train properly then it's hard to measure how good you are.
I get that a journeyman's durability can decline over time, especially if he's taking some bad beatings but I don't think that's a key factor in Tommy's demolition jobs. The ages of the pre-Grant journeymen Tommy beat were 37, 28, 25, 32 and 31, only one of them has had more than 32 fights and they were predominately 4 rounders where these journeymen generally weren't trying to win. Jake Paul made his pro debut against a fellow social media influencer less than two years ago and has had 4 total bouts, also fighting a retired basketballer, a retired UFC welterweight wrestler and an 8 rounder against a washed up UFC former welterweight champ. Tommy Fury made his pro debut three years ago and has had 7 pro bouts, fighting 6 low level journeyman and a novelty fighter on his American debut. He had 12 amateur bouts before that, apparently winning regional tournaments on two occasions. He's also been sparring for years with his brother and cousins, so it should be a mismatch despite Tommy's age, height and weight disadvantages.
The plan for Jake Paul is for him to beat Tommy FURY and then fight Nate Diaz. They have so much money invested in him. I personally think FURY will upset the applecart but he has to do it properly and really batter him.