Top 10 by Decade - Divisional Ranking Experiment

Discussion in 'Classic Boxing Forum' started by Rumsfeld, Mar 19, 2018.


  1. edward morbius

    edward morbius Boxing Addict Full Member

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    I will be interesting in how many dominate two different divisions in either one decade or in two different decades.

    I can't think off the top of my head of anyone who dominated two divisions in one decade.

    Sugar Ray Robinson will, I think, end up the top welterweight of the 1940's and the top middleweight of the 1950's.

    This system over-rewards consistent guys who fail against the top men--think Savold, Baker, Machen, and Folley.

    It underrates guys with short but outstanding runs (Layne) or guys who are erratic but dangerous for almost anyone (Satterfield). Satterfield might also be harmed by bouncing between the ratings of two separate divisions. Brings up the issue of doings an evaluation in which ratings in all divisions are totaled up for a score.
     
    Last edited: Apr 4, 2018
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  2. Rumsfeld

    Rumsfeld Moderator Staff Member

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    Yeah, I'll definitely do something like that. I have 28 "parts" in mind, with the last being something a little different than the rest of them - and something that will definitely be something P4P related.
     
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  3. Rumsfeld

    Rumsfeld Moderator Staff Member

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    I'll definitely do something along those lines at the end. Aside from the built-in WWII bias, my biggest obstacle is going to be with the 1980s. Ring did rankings for interim weight classes sporadically throughout the years. But I'm fine with just starting in the 1990s for those divisions (even if sometimes Ring rankings exist from 1974-86, because the 90s represents the first complete decade, and they've had continuous rankings coverage since then).

    But Ring not using rankings for the new weight classes in 1987 and 1988 screws everything up, and I find this disappointing on a personal level, because the 80s is when I began watching as a kid, and that 2 year gap really screws me.

    So I think everything from the 30s-70s should be pretty clean, and everything from 1990-Present will at least be consistent with 17 weight classes instead of just the 8. But the data set I have to work with from the 1980s is really sketchy on the whole.

    I get what you're saying about it overrating guys who never made it at the top level. I was initially torn between allocating points on a 10-9-8-7-6-5-4-3-2-1 basis, or something more along the lines of what I'd typically do, such as 15-12-10-8-6-5-4-3-2-1. I opted for the former, mainly because throughout history I think there are stretches where little separates guys ranked right near one another. And for what it's worth, I was fascinated by what was revealed about Folley and Machen.

    But it's definitely going to work against guys who were considered elite P4P talents that did frequent drive-by showings through some of the weight classes. For example, Pac jumping to 147 with just a single fight each at 135 and 140 (separated by the DLH bout in between). Without having actually looked at those rankings, I think Pac will likely be short changed in the 2000s, and there are many examples of this sort of thing among frequent class jumpers. They just don't hang around any single weight class long enough to qualify as top 10 under this scoring.
     
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  4. Rumsfeld

    Rumsfeld Moderator Staff Member

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    Oh, and one more point on that (and apologies if I'm stating the obvious here) - I think it also rewards boxers who were 'overrated' and punishes those who were 'underrated' with no recourse.
     
  5. Rumsfeld

    Rumsfeld Moderator Staff Member

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  6. Boilermaker

    Boilermaker Boxing Junkie Full Member

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    Anthony "The Man" Mundine ranked 6th Greatest Supermiddleweight to ever enter the ring!:eatingburger
     
  7. edward morbius

    edward morbius Boxing Addict Full Member

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    on the light-heavyweights,

    It is interesting that Harold Johnson really has a more impressive heavyweight resume than at light-heavyweight. His wins over Bivins and Charles came years after they left the light-heavyweights. Discounting those two, his only wins over light-heavies who made your lists are a decision over Moore (admittedly impressive) with four losses to Moore, and a split decision over Cotton. What most strikes me is the few top light-heavyweights Johnson fought.

    and elaborating on Cotton being overrated--He came out of the fifties not ranked and suffering losses to Sonny Ray, Sixto Rodriguez, and Hank Casey (all guys Mina would defeat). He had a good run in 1960 and 1961 including beating Mike Holt and Johnny Halifihi which got him a shot a Johnson, which he lost by split decision. He was probably fairly ranked #4 in 1961 (with Mina 8th)

    In 1962 Cotton won 4 of 5, but lost to Mina. He was rated #3 that year, with Mina #1.

    In 1963 Cotton won 5 of 6, losing to Mina, beating three journeymen, and also Chic Calderwood and Henry Hank. This record moved him up to the #1 rating. (Mina won all four of his fights that year, including one over Cotton and one over Bob Foster. He was dropped to #4 in The Ring ratings)

    In 1964 Cotton lost 3 of 4, splitting decisions with Johnny Persol, and losing twice to Wayne Thornton. (Mina had a poor year also, going 2-1-1, with a draw with Allan Thomas and a loss to Gregorio Peralta.) Cotton ended the year ranked #3. Mina was #4. Peralta who lost a championship fight to Pastrano, but beat Thornton and Mina, was ranked #1.

    In 1965 Cotton went 1-3-1, including a KO defeat. This dropped him to #6. *note that in 1964 and 1965 Cotton went 2-6-1 but still held the #6 ranking (in fairness, Mina got to #2, but Peralta was dropped to #4. Thornton who lost two fights each to Peralta and Bobo Olson got to be the #1 contender by beating, you guessed it, Cotton)

    in 1966 Cotton beat a couple of journeyman and then got a second shot at the title, this time against Jose Torres. After losing that one, he also lost to Roger Rouse and beat another journeyman. So he went 3 of 5, and ended the year ranked #3. Mina had to retire due to an eye injury. Peralta was dropped to #8.

    In 1967 Cotton won 3 of 4 but was KO'd by Foster. He finished the year and his career ranked #6. In fairness, Peralta was rated #2 that year, and the next, but this did not earn him a second shot at the title.

    Bottom line for me--how Cotton stayed at the top of the ratings despite losing fight after fight is possibly the biggest head-scratcher of the entire Ring ratings over the years.

    Cotton went 56-23-2 for his career. Mina went 52-3-3. Mina beat Cotton twice. Mina also beat all kinds of guys who beat Cotton, as well as top men like Peralta, but somehow couldn't very often edge past Cotton in the ratings.
     
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  8. Rumsfeld

    Rumsfeld Moderator Staff Member

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  9. edward morbius

    edward morbius Boxing Addict Full Member

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    One thing jumped out on me after seeing the middleweight board and I think merits a comment.

    Joey Maxim stands out in beating high-ranking men on your boards.

    Joey defeated the two men tied at #3 at heavy in the 1940's (Walcott & Bivins)
    Joey defeated the #1 & #2 men at light-heavy in the 1940's (Lesnevich & Mills)
    Joey defeated the #3 heavyweight of the 1950's (Patterson) & the #2 heavy of the 1960's (Patterson)
    Joey defeated the #1 middleweight of the 1950's (Robinson)
    and anticipating, I think Joey holds a win of the #1 welter of the 1940's (Robinson)

    Now, some of these men were smaller (Robinson & Patterson), green, (Patterson), or perhaps overrated (Lesnevich & Mills, and to a degree Patterson)

    but this is impressively beating the men at or near the top of your boards all the way from welter to heavy and from the 1940's to the 1960's.
     
  10. mark ant

    mark ant Canelo was never athletic Full Member

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    But AJ and Wilder have more respected world titles and Parker has the WBO title does Rummy actually rank the IBO or whatever **** Povetkin has?
     
  11. edward morbius

    edward morbius Boxing Addict Full Member

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    Thanks again for all your hard work putting his up. I think middleweight was (as you alluded to) the most talented division over the years, and so perhaps the most interesting.

    comments

    1930's--looking at the match-ups that were made, Europe was loaded with top middles in the 1930's, so Thil dominating over there makes his #1 rating understandable for me. Teddy Yarosz coming up the #1 American warms my evil little heart, and I'll have a separate post on Teddy later.

    1940's
    1--hard to say exactly how Zale would have done w/o WWII. He would certainly still have been pretty strong.
    2--the murderer's row group doesn't really stand out that much. It is LaMotta who impresses, with wins over Cerdan, Williams, Lytell, and Basora, as well as Robinson.
    3--although he might well have been hurt on this board by WWII, Cerdan did well enough to show his rep is mainly deserved, with wins over Zale, Williams, and Abrams.
    4--the big surprise for me was Belloise rating so high.

    1950's
    1--Giardello seems an overrated consistent guy in this decade. Joey fought a lot of top men, but I think he had a losing record against your board in this decade, beating Mims, but losing to Castellani and Webb. His win over an aging Robinson came in 1963.
    2--Fullmer is the most impressive against the board other than Robinson, with wins over Robinson, Castellani, Humez, Webb, and Basilio.
    3--Tiger Jones was certainly an in and outer, but he had wins over your top two, Robinson & Giardello. He also beat Gavilan, who might lead your welters in this decade. Jones stands out as a guy with a so-so record but a lot of big wins.
    4--Terry Downes also has wins over your top two, but in the 1960's.

    1960's

    1--Giardello has wins over the top middles of the 1950's and 1960's, Robinson and Tiger, but otherwise really didn't beat that many top men, and lost a lot. Just noting. And Robinson was really getting up there. So Joey's great performance on this board again points to longevity trumping beating the best. But he did beat Tiger twice.
    2--Joey Archer also has wins over Robinson (at literally the end) and Tiger, and so beat the top men of the 1950's and 1960's, impressive I think for a mere contender.
    3--Griffith did the best against the board, with wins over Tiger, Benvenuti, Archer, and Rodriguez.
    4--Benvenuti also impresses with wins over Griffith, Rodriguez, Mazzinghi, and Folledo. The Euro middles show well from the 1930's through the 1960's and were quite competitive with the best.

    1970's
    1--Monzon is really outstanding, with wins over Valdez, Briscoe, Griffith, Mundine, and Tonna, and retiring undefeated.

    1980's
    1--Hagler stands out, but perhaps not to the degree Monzon did in the earlier decade.

    I think Monzon and Hagler deserve to rate above Robinson at middleweight.
     
    Last edited: Mar 29, 2018
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  12. edward morbius

    edward morbius Boxing Addict Full Member

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    on Teddy Yarosz

    Happy to see him rated so high by your system. I think Teddy might be the all time underrated fighter. He beat 10 world champions (2 welters, 6 middles, and 2 light-heavies), and beat champions from every decade from the 1920's (Pete Latzo) to the 1960's (Archie Moore).

    How he does against your boards at light-heavy is mind-boggling, I think.

    Teddy beat the #3 light-heavy of the 1930's (Al Gainer)
    Teddy beat the #4 light-heavy of the 1940's (Lloyd Marshall)
    Teddy beat the #10 light-heavy of the 1940's (Nate Bolden)
    Teddy beat the #3 light-heavy of the 1940's, the #1 light-heavy of the 1950's, and the #10 light-heavy of the 1960's (Archie Moore)
    Teddy also beat Billy Conn (a champion but never rated at light-heavy, but rated #8 at heavy in the 1940's)

    So Yarosz defeated someone who made your boards at light-heavy all the way from the 1930's to the 1960's.

    *just an aside, in an HBO poll of the Boxing Writers of America done about 1980, the top two light-heavies were Archie Moore and Billy Conn, both men Yarosz defeated.
     
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  13. Rumsfeld

    Rumsfeld Moderator Staff Member

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    Great posts, @edward morbius - I really enjoy reading your reflections after these, as it's always informative and well thought out.

    I'm going nuts here over what to do with the rest of the interim weight classes. My initial plan was to never start with a partial decade, which means that all of the interim divisions would basically start with the 1990s. But some of these weight classes have data sets that are nearly complete in the 80s and somewhat complete in the 70s.

    With Jr Middleweight, for instance, I have data from 1974-1979, and 1980-86, 1989. I'm tempted to include the 80s as I move south. Either way the 80s set is going to be a bit screwy, but 8 of 10 years is still enough to kind of paint a picture. Curious what you think? (Also curious what others thing as well for those who've been following along).

    I don't think I'm ever going to start with a decade where there aren't at LEAST 8 of 10 years of data. So the 70s are probably out across the board. But since those divisions began coming into play during the 80s, I am kind of tempted to throw them into the mix.
     
  14. Boilermaker

    Boilermaker Boxing Junkie Full Member

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    i know its not a popularity contest, but you have done so much work, i would loved to see it taken as far as possible. I dont see a prolem with a decade with lots of zeros. Much like the fighters with careers spanning both decades or who are number one in November but drop down in December, it is just a matter of luck.

    BAck to the middleweights, I just have to say, I had always thought that Robinson was slightly overated at middleweight. This certainly tends to suggest otherwise.
     
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  15. Rumsfeld

    Rumsfeld Moderator Staff Member

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    I will definitely see this through and it will definitely stretch beyond 17 episodes. I think I will start doing partial decades going forward (although I don't think I'm going to include partials from the 20s or 30s as the sample sizes are extremely slim there). I'll double back and get the partial I missed (80s cruiserweights that is, as 80s super middleweights was just 89). After the weight classes themselves are all finished, I'm going to restructure things a bit differently to focus on individual decades. I'll probably even double back and get the 20s, but ultimately I'll get all of the info out before doing some type of larger scope finale.

    You might not be wrong, though. This is really more a measurement of "perceived greatness" where flash-in-the-pan explosive short runs aren't rewarded. But "perceived greatness" doesn't always equate to "actual greatness" if that makes sense.

    But, regarding Robinson, I would personally be inclined to have him in the top 4 middleweights in a group with Hagler, Monzon, and Greb, where Hopkins would be immediately after those 4.