Vegas has it wrong (Thurman/Pac)

Discussion in 'World Boxing Forum' started by TEAM_LOMA, Jul 18, 2019.


  1. TEAM_LOMA

    TEAM_LOMA This is Boxing Full Member

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    To me, I think you're getting incredible value if you take Thurman as the underdog. No way Thurman should be a +130 +140 underdog as of this writing. If anything it's a 50/50 -110 -110 type fight. However, it makes sense why the odds are the way they are because the public is all over Manny as expected. But I don't know, I just feel like there's value here. I'm not sure if I'll bet the fight myself as there's so much boxing this weekend but should be a fun one and don't be surprised if this goes to a draw
     
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  2. Paranoid Android

    Paranoid Android Manny Pacquiao — The Thurmanator booted Full Member

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    I'm not a gambler nor have I ever gambled, but when odds are this close, isn't the underdog always a very good value?
     
  3. TEAM_LOMA

    TEAM_LOMA This is Boxing Full Member

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    you never answered me if you have this forum as your homepage?
     
    Last edited: Jul 18, 2019
  4. Paranoid Android

    Paranoid Android Manny Pacquiao — The Thurmanator booted Full Member

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    Not as my homepage, but it's bookmarked. I imagine that you have this page bookmarked as well.

    Why do you care?
     
  5. Pimp C

    Pimp C Trapper of The Year Full Member

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    I love that they got it wrong the wise guys like me and others will clean up at the books because of it. I also put $100 on the draw to win $1600.
     
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  6. Rilz

    Rilz Boxing Addict Full Member

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    Manny opened as the slight underdog, I was able to get him at +115 in May at Westgate. The only thing that has swung the odds is big money on Pac, unless of course Vegas knows something we don't from Thurman's training camp (which you can never rule out).
    I loved Manny's value at +115, but wouldn't touch him at -140 at 40 y.o.

    With that said, I am just not sold on Thurman, I just can't picture it in my head him beating Manny.
     
  7. TEAM_LOMA

    TEAM_LOMA This is Boxing Full Member

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    Go outside. Leave your phone. Live a little
     
  8. TEAM_LOMA

    TEAM_LOMA This is Boxing Full Member

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    If u check the official betting thread, I told everyone to take Manny while he was still an underdog if you were looking that way. Manny as a dog is a good bet.
     
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  9. TEAM_LOMA

    TEAM_LOMA This is Boxing Full Member

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    How do you reach wise guy level Pimp?
     
  10. Pimp C

    Pimp C Trapper of The Year Full Member

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    I haven't just talking ****.:lol:
     
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  11. Paranoid Android

    Paranoid Android Manny Pacquiao — The Thurmanator booted Full Member

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    Nope.
     
  12. Angler Andrew

    Angler Andrew Obsessed with Boxing Full Member

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    It's an odd one and were it on the back of his wins over Porter and Garcia I suspect it would of been different.
     
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  13. MidniteProwler

    MidniteProwler Fab 4 Full Member

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    I am backing a few upsets this weekend Rivas over Whyte and Thurman over Pac and like @Pimp C I am going to have some money on the draw.
     
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  14. kiwi_boxer

    kiwi_boxer RIP IsaL - Canelo 'facts' 2018 Full Member

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    The best money is a draw...

    Paying huge numbers, neither guy is the definite favourite and history tells us it's unlikely they will knock each other down.
    With Vegas involved, huge interest and both well recognised fighters, I don't think a decision is as easy to come by as a draw.

    Financially it makes sense, from a boxing perspective it makes sense and the levels between the two match up.

    Thuman will win the opening rounds (very likely) and then jump off the gas, as he usually does.
    Pacquiao will struggle to get in range earlier in the fight, but as Thurman runs out of steam, Pacquiao will start accumulating rounds.
    With a swing round at the end and in the middle of the fight, I would see a draw very likely.
     
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  15. Grinder

    Grinder Dude, don't call me Dude Full Member

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    Pac is old and a shadow of his best. Best bet is Thurman plus draw.
     
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