I think Joshua via KO. I don't think Joshua should risk trying to outbox him, but instead utilize his physical advantage.
I think it would be a mistake if he try to bully him with size and power. I think Usyk will be waiting for that and remember, he has experience to fight bigger and stronger guys. By the way, who is AJ sparring partners ? How is he doing in the camp ? I don't think some of you guys understand just how difficult is to fight the skilled southpaw. Is AJs stamina OK ?
I don't think it's a mistake, AJ has a clear physical advantage. AJ couldn't do it as consistently as Chisora as he doesn't have the stamina, but he does have much better quality, so if he picks his moments to bully him, he only needs one sustained attack and it could be over.
No, but I fail to see the necessity of this comparison? Joshua fought him earlier in his career, and decided it wasn't worth the risk to go after him so just outboxed him. It doesn't mean this is what he'd do now. What I'm saying is that you can physically bully Usyk, but the different between Joshua and Chisora, is that Chisora may have better stamina, but lacks the quality JOshua does. Joshua can launch and assault on usyk with Power and skill, and I think these barrages will be enough to win AJ the fight.
I always try and make the most sensible pick in my mind. Yet here we are, and I've comically gotten almost every official HW prediction I've ever made incorrect in the last 6 years or so.
Agree with this as his best route to the win. But we've not seen that version of Joshua in recent years, starting from the Wlad fight and certainly post his stoppage loss to Ruiz. And AJ is a little too high on his boxing skills, ego might drive him to try outbox the boxer. But if AJ can summon up a more rounded version of the one which put it on Klitschko, then yeah he could make his physical advantages decisive. He always has to account for his suspect gas tank and that too could play a factor in the approach he decides to use. If he follows the game plan you suggest and after five or six rounds it's not paid off there would be concerns about stamina. He might feel the need to keep something in reserve and this would force him to make it a less physical bout. And although Usyk is relatively untested as a HW that too presents AJ with a conundrum as he can't know for sure the true strengths and weakness of his opponent. There's very little data to fall back on from this division. There's layers to this fight which make it intriguing but I agree he should look past his own flaws and back his physicality to secure the win...
I appreciate the analysis. Great work. But AJ will KO Usyk with his big right, no matter how skilled Usyk is. This content is protected
If I had to bet my house, it would be going on a Joshua decision, and I think most people would be the same, but the meat of the analysis is absolutely spot on IMO - cagey, chess-match, with Joshua potentially being taken deep on the mental side. I like both fighters, but I'm kind of rooting for Usyk as he is once again trying to win a title in the opponen'st back yard, with no doubt a stacked deck in both the referee and the judges against him - if it's close and competetive, it's going to Joshua, guaranteed. Usyk will have to dominate clearly with maybe a knockdown along the way to get a decision in this one. I suspect that Usyk himself knows this and will be looking to stop AJ late, or go out on his shield - he is fiercely competetive and simply doesn't know how to lose. Either way I'm really starting to get excited for this one!