Hill. The over/under is like 11 and 1/2 rounds. And about 80% of the punches landed are jabs. Very very few telling blows landed. I prefer the better mobility of Hill to win the rounds. Tarver really does not move those feet as well. I think it's a footwork fight with Tarver doing the chasing & that is the wrong tactic and not what he does best.
I was a really big fan of Tarver back in the day. Gradually going from being a casual fan to a diehard in my early teen years as he began his Roy Jones march to elite status with wins over Eric Harding, Reggie Johnson, and Montell Griffin, so I have fond memories of following his career. But his standing is hurt by his repeated PED test failures. Hill would outbox him.