I broadly agree with your assessment here. This prediction of mine is basically based on just a gut feeling; AJ doesn't look right, at all, to me. But, I agree that on paper, on the evidence of what we've seen, the most likely outcome is a close points win where AJ gets his hand raised, as you say, whether or not he deserves it. Even 8-4 wallin is not enough to guarantee him the nod here.
Yeah cause every 3rd match AJ is getting a help from the judges. When was that time when AJ won, and it wasn't deserved? Remind me pls. I'm going to be laughing my *** off when AJ either 12-0 Wallin or KO him brutally. It's all depend on how good Wallin chin is and how willing AJ is going to be for the KO. But i have no doubt that this going to be a one-sided affair. There is no universe where Wallin is going to win a Boxing Match with AJ. Skill wise AJ is miles ahead of Wallin. He is miles ahead of everyone excluding Usyk.
He was a massive Wlad fan back in the day, thought/hoped he would flatten Fury. 17 months after getting schooled Wlad almost flattened AJ (though bottlejob Wlad still found a way to lose) and AJ lost to Wlad's compatriot Usyk, so AJ has to be amazing! One small fly in the ointment is AJ's 7 round quitjob against Ruiz but we'll pretend that doesn't matter because "he won the rematch" and "Ruiz caught him with a lucky punch" etc. etc.
I don't think there's ever been a fighter who has attracted the sort of armchair psychology AJ has. It's because he's weird and famous, so I get it, but Idk, some people like the "edgy" AJ as proof that he's a bad man, others are saying it's proof that he is mentally unstable and will lose.
AJ is one Fury sausage insult away from breaking out in tears at all times. His phycology rightfully has been mocked and targeted even before he became champion. Then the 2nd Usyk loss really showed how low he can go. If he lost to Wallin close on points he's definitely clocking a dopey faced Eddie Hearn with a left hook killing him in the process and leaving everyone shocked but not me I see it coming from a mile away. He'd definitely duck Wilder to fight for a soon vacant IBF belt if he wasn't forced to by his management, The Saudi's ensuring his hand is forced with the crazy money they are offering. He's explicitly stated that he would pick the belt option over anything else but he knows he is will be forced to fight Wilder which is why he's acting like a fanny during this event.
Wallin could be a tough fight for aj and 2 weeks ago I had him losing but putting up a good fight, a week later I was thinking a round 8 ko. Today honestly I'm fully expecting an aj ko within 4 rounds.
That might be true. But for me it's the contrast between pre 2018 AJ and modern AJ. He's not always been this neurotic.
AJ's looking mentally shot IMO. He's either depressed or has some weird complex about promoting the event, so is purposefully showing that he's not bothered. If it's the latter, it's pretty ungrateful to the people willing to overpay you. He might have found out training in texas that he's not about that life anymore.