Not a chance in hell. He'll get battered and KO'd within six IMO. Let's not forget that Groves and Degale destroyed him years ago. Abraham fights in a 1-d peak-a-boo style these days, he's a bog standard fighter and it's not a feat to go the distance with him these days. Smith remains a very limited domestic level boxer going in against a former P4P top 5. This is going to be a brutal beating.
As much as i hope this does not happen as I will be cheering Paul on in my head I have to agree with this opinion.
I don't think the extra weight will help him at all, it's not muscle. Might be bit harsh here but I get the impression he hasn't trained properly here. I think it'll be over by round 8. As said above ironic that this happens after the criticism he made of Fielding. Hopefully it's the last meaningful fight for smith, he seems in favour because no real way he deserved the Abraham fights or this one.