What chance do you give Hopkins to beat Pavlik?

I give this 50-55%.

Pros for Pavlik: High workrate, varied angles on his shots, youth, Hopkins economizes with his shots.
Cons for Pavlik: Much less experience at top lvl, tends to get sloppy, not the best of defences. Open for counters.

 

16.2%

 

Even though I give BHop a 60% chance at winning this fight, I do hope Pavlik will win this.. The reason I'm giving BHop the edge is because of the higher weight experience and he is crafty.. I'm sure BHop will take the early rounds, playing safe and countering Pavlik.. Pavlik might even get knocked down, but half way through the fight, I can see it going two ways.. I think Pavlik will start to take control of the fight as BHop's workrate will go down and his age will show.. Pavlik will take charge, but he won't get sloppy.. I don't predict any KO, but I do think Pavlik will either pull ahead on the scorecards and grab the win or BHop will be too far ahead on the cards for Pavlik to catch up.. We could see another controversial decision..

 

I'll put it about 60%. I'll slightly favor Hopkins for the win at this point.

 

40-45%

 

Is this 12 or 10 rounds?

 

Damn good question. There hasn't seemed to be a definitive answer on that.

 

about 55% ,,im going with Hopkins in this one , even that hes old at 43 , Pavlik is too much of a one dimensional fighter to K.O. Hopkins,

The only way that Pavlik can win this fight is that Hopkins at 43 years old will be fighting the way hes last couple of fights have been that is only defensive and throwing like 4 punches per round.

By the way Hopkins that Fought Trinidad will have school Pavlik worst than Tito in 2001.

 

There was an article indicating a reporter told Pavlik it was 10 during and interview and he went with that and it kind of 'stuck'. It is listed as a twelve rounder in all the print though and someone mentioned they don't think HBO would like it being 10. Won't go that long anyhow. (joke, I really don't know)

 

16.3 %

 

50.1 %

 

Over 60 % this will be a one sided schooling !

 

That's almost impossible due to Hopkins' lack of stamina. Stamina is his biggest weakness right now. Even though he knows he can hit you, he can't let his hands go because he has to be economical with his output. He's looking to go 12 rounds and fights with that mindset.

I give Hopkins a 20-25% chance based on Pavlik's workrate and pressure. He's just going to outwork Hopkins. Hopkins will get in some beautiful lead right hands but it won't be enough to win 7 rounds.

 

Nevermind the fact that Hopkins has the workrate and stamina of a Shannon Briggs:rofl

 

Hopkins has a very good chance of beating Pavlik. I don't know how that equates out in percentages - but it is entirely possible that Bernard could outbox Kelly.