What chance do you give Povetkin to beat Klitschko?

Under 50 %

 

20%.

Hello Decebal :hi:

 

20ish.

 

One percent chance Povetkin wins by TKO
99 percent chance Wlad wins by KO.

 

Well... not really much... I mean Povetkin is talented all right it's just the bad fight for him... Klitschko is better in every department but punch output.

If Sacha can cut the ring and put on some real pressure I sey he might pull it off... but Wladimir is very cautious these days and will turn this fight into a dull borefest if he can to keep Povetkin's hand away from his head.

Maybe good body attack will do some damage however giving more than 40% for Sacha would be more than generous. I'd say between 35-40% if we can masure this at all...

 

You should have an option for under 5%.

 

I would have choosen 0% if you had it - so I'll have to go with under 15%.

He's going to get KTFO - plan and simply.

If he wins - Congratulations to whom ever bets on him.

 

All good points. And that's why he has a chance. We know how tentative Wlad usually is, and given his shaky chin and Povetkin's pressure I think he will back Wlad up and have his moments.

But realistically, Wlad is much bigger and has a clear reach advantage. Not sure what Povetkin's reach is, I know Wlad's is 81", given Povetkin's 6'2" and seeing as reach is wingspan and most peoples wingspan is the same as their height, Povetkin's should be between 73-75. So that's a clear reach advantage. Wlad can keep him at the end of his jab if he moves well or backs Povetkin up with a sharp, crisp and powerful jab instead of pawing with it, and can catch him with the straight right behind it. He's just too open Povetkin, and he's got solid power but not the sort of concussive power that would allow him to catch Wlad with one decent shot and knock him out.

Realistically he'd probably have to get inside Wlad first and then land a 4-5 flush combination.

 

Povetkin's major problem is that he's not going to know what to do when he gets hit. He doesn't have the experience to know.

This should be considered his cash out, because he's taking this way too soon.

 

About 12%, he doesn't have power that will make Wlad fear him.

 

Even though Povetkin is not a one-punch KO artist, he does possess decent power.Considering Povetking is a very skillful pressure fighter with a very high output, I actually give him over 55% of chance to beat Klitschko.