Like 80/20 in favour of Usyk. Dubois is a big strong young guy with power but skills and experience wise hes levels below.
You assume Dubois will put more pressure on Usyk after being dropped 3 times in his last fight ? I think that's a tad optimistic. Joshua was able to land some solid shots on Usyk without really making impact on him, I don't see Dubois hits any harder than Joshua. And Usyk has an iron chin it's only in the bread basket where Usyk looks a bit vulnerable. Overall I guess anything can happen in Heavyweight boxing, but I don't give Dubois much of a chance I make Usyk a strong 80/20 favourite.
The odds of nipple head taking a knee are higher than him seeing the last bell. As long as Usyk hasn't aged overnight he'll weather the early rounds and then turn the thumb screws incrementally until Dubois is totally overwhelmed and frustrated, pretty busted up from non stop accurate punches, that he'll then lose the will to fight on. Knee to the floor or the corner pulls him out. He's not seeing the final bell.
I don't know if I'd go that high. Would you even give AJ a 20% chance of beating Usyk? Dubois more than a 20% chance of beating AJ?
Usyk is too focused and the fight on poland will be all in favor of Usyk I see 5% chance Usyk will counter all pressure attempts and it will frustrate Dubois
1%, and that's being generous to Dubios who hasn't really done much of note. If Usyk can handle AJ with minimal difficulty, Dubios is a sparring session.
More than AJ.... A better puncher/brawlers chance than AJ Calculates to around 13.4% Dubious will come to gunsling and use his size or hopefully will the moment he realizes he can't outfox or outbox the midget. Risk over 10% is stupid if you ask me. Usyk and what might be his dumbass team should keep sitting on their hands for 5 months.
A similar chance of winning as Yarde had against Beterbiev, and he put up a pretty good fight…but ultimately was outclassed. The difference though between Usyk and Beterbiev is when Beterbiev finds his range and hits his stride, he’ll knock you spark out. Whereas Usyk will box your ears off and pound you to a points defeat. And that’s what I can see here…Dubois hanging in there for a while, but Usyk will pull away and win a comfortable decision.