I also doubt that the fight will last longer than six. scenario a) haye tries to do a corrie sanders and blitz wlad - haye tko2: probability 10% scenario b) wlad avoids the early attack and gets his jab working. he lands his first solid right or left hook, haye is damaged goods from there on - wlad ko5: probability 90%.
Not only did Wlad get "sucker" punched by Sanders, he kep't coming back agressively when hurt, asking for more. And he took some major hits. His corner was horrible..he had no defense.:huh He's far too savvy today. He could get surprised by Haye's speed and go down, but he stays away and recovers this time.
Haye is definetly going to have to find a way past the jab. I think his speed and movement could neutralize it.
he is the most mobile/dangerous heavy wlad will face and before you start shouting sultan im not counting because haye has considerable power advantage over him so
We'll all know the answer early in the first round. How does Haye react to the first power left jab Wlad lands. If he shows any backing off, slight buckling of the legs or his head even snaps back too much the fight will be a slaughter and Wlad will finish him in three or four rounds. If not Wlad will take him deep and drown Haye in the latter rounds. Haye has no real experience at heavy and was foolish to press so early for this fight. Thank goodness Povetkin tripped over that root. He's got lots of work to do but at least he has a chin.
This fight is easier to pick than the Vitali Klitschko vs Sam Peter fight. Haye has beat nobody. Cruiserweight was just as weak as the Heavyweight Division is. Haye who had both stamina and Chin issues at Cruiserweight is going to get crushed. This is a Tyson/Spinks type situation where one guy just does not belong in the Heavyweight Division. I have serious doubts the fight goes past 4.