Why Kessler will beat Calzaghe...

Ok.

Some of the people on this glorious board has discussed this fight as if there where no other fights.

Blocky, Danepugilist, THN, Boxfan99, Faetterbr, Amsterdam, CinaHandJoe, Sandwichssurgeon, JC, and I could keep on going.

Youre all doing good. Blocky included:good


Anyway - here's my views.

IMHO the fight will be a very good display of Soutpaw vs orthodox. Furthermore the fight will be a tactical affair where JC will try to get "inside" on Kessler in order to land the combos. MK will try to keep Joe at a distance to control fights the way he usually does.

The thing is - neither fighter is imo able to be succesull at their usual gameplan.

Kessler will not be able to live of his jab because of Joes right hand and Joe wont be able to get on the inside because of Kesslers counter right and extreme control of distance.

This is just one of the things that makes this fight a 50/50 fight.

Because - what will Joe do when he gets punished by the counter right? What will Kessler do when his jab doesnt play the big part anymore?


??

Ive come to the conclusion that Kessler will win the fight.
Even if Joe WILL get more goodwill on the scorecards I think Kessler takes it in a possible SD or maybe even in a tko/ko.

The main reason in this prediction is that I feel kessler is the only fighter in Joe's career who is able too outbox him from the distance.

This obsoletes the southpaw/orthodox advantages and furthermore brings another aspect to the game.
In the Lacy fight, Joe was the fighter waiting for the other, which usually is a HUGE tactical advantage. Thus meaning, that the agressor often doesnt have the full perspective in either infight or on the outside.

Kessler will be waiting for Joe all night if its what it takes. And when Joe tryes he will be punished - either by the counter cross or the left hook (which he wont expect).

On the other hand I can see Joe getting to Kessler and throw him around just like he did to Lacy....
But I am almost certain that this wont happen because MK is bigger, faster and has a superior punch arsenal, faster feet and a well functioning tactical gameplan compared to Lacy.

Some bold analysists have also claimed that Kessler's jab wont be a factor at all. This is stupid. An orthodox jab (especially a pistol one) will often be used against a southpaw, in order to settle for other punches when the southpaw tries to get in. In other words it is usually displayed as bait, because the southpaw will fell safe to move when he has evaded the jab.

This is well documented in boxing history, my friends.

The fight will explode in the 10'th round.
A counter cross, a left hook - goodnight Joe Calzaghe.



:think

 

Changed.

 

No, no I agree. But this fight will bring somethign new on Calzaghe and something new on Kessler.

Tactically, stylistically - Kesslers left hook will be SO overlooked:deal

 

Oh no.

I totally overlooked that.

Im ****ed.

 

He's been very hard on the Danes. By some mistake apparently, his relentless atacks on this nation has convinced bookies all over the world that Joe is the HUGE favourite. Hmmm:huh

Homo sapiens sometimes acts irrelevant and seemingly without an evolutionary objective. This must the explanation in this case, I guess.

 

That is highly unlikely, my friend.

If he does - Elvis Presley will fall from the sky and land on top of the Loch Ness monster.

Wish I cold make a bet on that one...