Why Mayweather beats Sergio Martinez

Interesting that you base your premise on the fact that Floyd would come forward on Sergio, because I think that Floyd taking the lead would actually lead to his downfall, in a sense. Even though Floyd has very good accuracy and judge of distance when coming forward, it puts me on edge every time he leads into his punches. Few fighters have ever tried to make Floyd lead, and I think Martinez would try to exploit this by baiting him. I noticed that against southpaws, when he tries to come forward, he sometimes follows them around the ring, and walks into shots he normally wouldn't.

Here, at :30 secs, Mitchell catches Floyd with a few stiff jabs while circling, and Floyd is planted since he's stuck on the front foot.

From 3:40 on, you can see Floyd simply following whenever Mitchell steps. The reason I point this out is because Martinez's favorite tactic is to walk towards the right hand when out of range, so that his opponent follows and cedes the space he needs to circle back the other way and regain the center of the ring. I think Floyd trying to walk him down plays into his hands. 4:09 shows Floyd reach uncharacteristically, and almost/arguably loses the round on ceding the angle.

[ame]http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=sRRHsiVfJic[/ame]

Here he is reaching against Cotto, lifting his right leg off the ground and stepping forward into a lunge nearly ever time with his chin in the air:

This content is protected

Then of course there's the right-hook counter knockdown against Judah and the handful of counter-lefts he walked into.

I simply don't think Floyd is stylistically suited to come forward against Sergio (as a main strategy anyway, in spots it could work great). At least, I'd feel nervous as a Floyd fan watching him leap into shots.

The point you mention about Barker, however, is a way I think he can get at Martinez. If he sports a high guard but hangs back a bit while engaging, he can anticipate Sergio's jab and knock it down, since like you said, it's already down low. Floyd's parrying skills against Judah show that he can paw and neutralize certain key punches from a southpaw if they stay still trying to play chess with him, including the jab. If he can catch Martinez side-stepping without throwing or rushing forward with check hooks and rights to the body, he can start to dismantle his offense.

This content is protected

This content is protected

This content is protected

In terms of in clinches, I think it's anybody's game. Floyd is defensively superior, but Sergio will no doubt throw in more volume and with much more potency. He did after all break Jr.'s face. I don't think the fight would end up here often except in those award moments of coming together that always happen between opposite-stance fighters, but if it did, I think it could favor Floyd in terms of points within the round, but also Sergio in terms of damage done to Floyd which could affect him down the road and overall in the fight, especially considering Floyd's one nearly always open spot is the right side of his body (hard right hooks).

I think I'd favor the former scenario to occur and pick Sergio, but I think Floyd can win using elements of what you said and what I added. Good post.

 

This is all just a pipedream . If you really believe Mayweather will ever fight Martinez I've got some beach front property in Oklahoma to sell:hi:

 

And the same thing was said about Shane Mosley.:rofl Then there will be another name...and another one...and another one..and another one.

Both posters above give excellent analysis of this fight and this ******* comes with this ****.atsch:hi:

 

Props to Bogo and bball on this. I think both scenarios are likely and could happen by all means.

Note-That Mitchell video is the last time Floyd fought someone who was not in the top 3 in his division and/or top 10 in the world. 2005 is a long time ago.

 

If Floyd turns it into a chessmatch, I think he can really tag Sergio. The slower the pace in this fight, the more Floyd will have his way.

 

This content is protected

 

I agree, Floyd takes this. Martinez been overrated on here imo.

 

Chavez Jr would be a cool mismatch, Chavez would just walk through the shots.

 

At least this ******* isnt a gullible butt licker like you LOL Fight wi8lol never happen

 

Martinez is a very, very, very good boxer but he's not on Floyd's level. Floyd is an all time great and while Martinez ranks up there in terms of skills he's just not in Floyd's league.

I think it would be a very interesting and fun fight to watch and I'd be routing for Sergio but you can't kill what you can't catch and Floyd's faster and more skilled than Sergio.

Floyd wins this fight because he's simply better. No ultra analysis needed here.

 

Very intrested to read this.

 

Cool story bro

Why only Martinez when Floyd could beat the like of SRR or SRL...this is a fantasy fight after all .

 

Nice comeback. Again, you off thread topic.:deal

 

Martinez is harder than any other fight out there, for Floyd.