Wlad KOs Fury easily, its going to be missmatch. Instead Fury should fight Wilder, where I believe he would spark Wilder out.
The size differential would be telling so Fury would most likely win (probably via KO). However, when Fury faced a fighter with superior speed and comparable reach (Cunningham) he struggled. Wilder also possesses those attributes, along with exceptional power. But overall I would predict that Fury would find a way to get to Wilder who is not as experienced as USS was. Also, Fury is a better defensive fighter now so it's unlikely Wilder catches him with a right (though still possible).
I still think Wilder would decimate Fury inside a couple of rounds. Fury is such a sucker for that right hand that I can't believe he will be able to avoiding it for long. And with much more power behind it as USS or Pajkic. But I'm also pretty sure that Fury os the much better fighter overall. So he might pull it off. Against Wlad he doesn't stand much chance though.