If Winky can make 154 without being drained, he'd win a UD by outjabbing and outlanding Forrest. If he's drained and has no strength/energy at the weight, Forrest probably wins.
Obviously Wright can't make 154. The last time he weighed 154 was in 2004. 2004 Wright vs. 2008 Forrest........Winky UD12.
Right now? Forrest would beat Winky at 154.. but there's no way Winky is making that weight anyways. If he did, he would be severely drained. I believe Winky is nearly shot and is just waiting to cash out on one big fight so he could retire and live a completely relaxed life. He couldn't get Oscar, so he wants Pavlik now. If the fight comes off, Pavlik will stop him and that's when Winky will probably announce his retirement. I can see Winky in 2015 being one of those retired lighter weight division fighters weighing 250+ pounds. Oh well, he deserves to eat all he wants after such an accomplished career.