Wlad might actually be too big to beat Baer. Baer was at his perfect weight for his size and style of fighting.
Bigger guy = bigger target. Baer didn't have trouble with the bigger boxer types, he had trouble with the smaller types. I would still place my money on Wlad however I could probably be swayed away if I saw the correct argument.
Baer. He looked good against Carnera who was big and tougher than the glass-chinned and slow w. klitschko.