hey guys n girls, first post on here so go easy i was just signing on and reading the comments about the way joe calzaghe was ducking a kelly pavlik fight... whilst reading i was thinking how the actual fight would play out, and i thought i'd give my opinion. first up, ill say straight away that im british and so of course my view point may be bias towards calzaghe, but i would also say that i am a pavlik fan. tbh i find the comments of 'kelly would ko joe easily' or 'joe would school pavlik with ease' a bit vague and obviously bias. obviously KP had great k.o power at middleweight, and id also say he was more of an accumaulation power then a one punch k.o artist... however this doesnt mean that this power would transfer to the weight range of 168-70 pounds. Watching his rematch with Taylor id day that kellys power was good but not great, but you've also got to take into account the way taylor boxed more defensively on the night. it would be interesting to see how KP's punching power transferred to the SMW range. Now, onto JC. His demolition of jeff lacy was sublime, and the defeat of kessler was a great result. However, against hopkins he looked sluggish and got drawn into hopkins fight. i still thought he won, but it was very close, but you've alos got to take into account that noone looks good against bernard. Ok, so theres theres no doubt that joe is aging, but he is still a sublime boxer. I think the joe that fought lacy would beat pavlik comfortably by UD, but now that hes aged a bit more its a slightly different fight. onto the fight itself.... i think it all depends on pavliks power. Joe has fought boxers like pavlik before (kessler in particular). pavlik has a great one two, and his jab is beautiful. hes not the prettiest to watch, but hes fundamentally sound and hes got a great right hand to follow up that jab. Personally i think pavliks downfall in this fight would be his lack of lateral movement... in my opinion coming straight forward againt joe is close to suicide. Joe struggles against great counterpunchers aka hopkins, but if hes on form he could easily pick pavlik off from the outside all night, peppering him with jabs and combos. However if pavliks power carried and he caught JC flush he could catch JC's attention. Calzaghe has a good chin, but if pavlik can hurt him then calzaghe could go into macho mode and KP could finish it. But, tbh i see JC respecting pavliks power and picking him off. Overall, i think it would go the way of the JC-Kessler fight. I think pavlik would have some succes in the opening rounds, but in the end Joe would pick him off, and box nicely from the outside. I see it is a great contest but a UD for Joe 8-4 or 7-5. thanks guys