Ajays Sydney Autumn Carnival Lamb Cutlet

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The lightly raced stayer is having his 3rd run back from a spell and will appreciate the extra distance and firmer track.

He'll be starting at approx. $4.00 which is good value for a horse that is much better than the class of horse he'll meet. He'll race off the speed but there's plenty of on pace runners entered and the big roomy track will give him every opportunity to rattle over the top of them.

A winner of 6 from 16 this 5yr old gelding is a full brother to the smart Victorian Molotov and possesses the same brilliant sprint as his sibling.

DON'T LET THIS OPPORTUNITY PASS YOU BY. I'm giving you lot the heads up so have a go at it. Take the punt as it's great value and they rarely come along.

If you hold an account with a sports betting agency I suggest you get on early if you can snap up a better price than 3/1.

 

The majority of my punting is hobbie bets although I'll have a decent bet every so often depending on what time of the year it is. Carnival time more often as Weight For Age and Stakes class racing is more true to form than this time of year when you get runners coming from all over the state where they've had big weights at provincial tracks, etc, etc...

I have a bank which is solely for punting (Off limits to the wife). I restrict each of my major bets to 5% of my bank (currently Max bet around $300) and tomorrow will be the first big bet since Black Minx won for me back on Stradbroke Hcp day. All other bets are for fun and rarely exceed $20.

Do I make much money ? Well put it this way...I had a nice win back in September last year where a $40 four leg parlay returned me just under $12,000. I topped up my bank to $10,000 and put the rest into the business. After nine months my bank is down to $6,000 so I'm down since then although that is what that money is for.

I don't drink or smoke, I don't play card machines and I don't go clubbing. Some people go play golf others go to the pub....I bet.

Overall since I started as a 16 year old twenty years ago I'd be down too because I used to be a crazy punter before the kids came along (10+ years) Sometimes I'd have awesome wins where I'd shout my mates to Pier 1 at the Rocks or Danny's at La Parouse (get a haircut, buy new clothes and shoes...generally blow it as quick as possible) while there'd be other weeks where I'd be eating Coco Pops for dinner because my Old Man would give me an uppercut if I asked him for money after going to the track and losing my own cash.

There are other things to take into consideration such as both me and the wife's family having an interest in their own thoroughbreds. Because of the cost it's a punt within itself (usually more costly than going to the TAB). Me personally, I only have one horse that isn't costing me alot because my brother is the majority shareholder although that's how I like it. Same with the wife.

Anyone that wants to get serious about betting on thoroughbreds needs to make it a fulltime occupation. Not only did I do speed maps which included knowing how fast a horse would break over the first furlong of a race but I'd often go down to trackwork before dawn. As a city boy I had to get my self educated on anything and everything until I could tell one horse from another just like you can notice one human from another. Then you have to go to the track and watch them parade because you want to be sure that the horse isn't sweating up or is fractious or even a little light which could signal that the horse needs a break.

And after all that you have to hope that the little man on the back of your 650kg beast doesn't falter under presure, which is a real possibility after wasting so he can make the weight limit.

Overall I'd strongly advise anyone who asks NOT TO PUNT SERIOUSLY UNLESS YOU HAVE A VAST AMOUNT OF CAPITAL BEHIND YOU. For those that can come up with the funds it's easy to win your way out of trouble (as long as your good with numbers) but if you're going out to make it big with a month's worth of wages then you'll most likely crash and burn.

BTW, I once had a pick the margin footy tab where I bombed out on the Friday Night after Hazim El Masri missed a conversion after the fulltime siren (I had Bulldogs 11-20 against the Roosters and they won by ten) As the week went on I ended up getting every other game correct meaning that I missed out because one of the greatest goal kickers in the history of the game MISSED!!! Worse still, it was the last kick he missed before going on to get the record of most consecutive goals.

No one got it that week with a carry over jackpot of $200,000!!!

I was in a state of depression for months.

Enough info for ya ? :hi:

 

How does that work if they've been racing at different tracks or over different distances?

Do you factor in times (overall and last 600m) ? How about track condition, weights, race tempo, field size...even a horse's breeding with some stock light types that come to hand early while others need racing to get fit.

If you are extremely selective with the horses you bet it can work because half the runners in a maiden class event will never earn a cent.

 

It's all good.

Until I'm placing bets from my lear jet I try my best to keep an open mind.

 

The next day (Saturday) I didn't really give it a second thought as I often got no more than 2 or 3 selections correct, just thought I got the loss over and done with.

I remember backing Ambulance in the Queensland Sires at 30/1 and dancing around telling the missus what a legend I was to win over $3000.

Come Sunday I realised that if either Wests Tigers or Manly (who were playing one another) won by less than 11 points (had them both at 1-10), along with another game that I can't remember then I would miss out on pick the margins by a ****ing point. I had already snared the upset of the round by picking Souths to beat Melbourne by 11-20 and 21+ (they won by more than 20 points which killed off 95% of the punters) so I decided to sit down and cheer on whatever team would give me another loss.

Now after 15 minutes Wests had skipped away to a decent lead, which was kind of a relief as I'm an old Magpie fan while the wife has her misfunction by being a Manly supporter. But as they game went on Manly fought back and with only a few minutes remaining it was obvious that neither team was going to win by more than 10 points.

From there it's a kind of blur. I know that the other game went down to the wire but in my distress I can't remember who played, nor can I remember who actually won the Wests v Manly game. What I do remember is that I didn't sleep that night and the next day I lost my Saturday's winnings of $3000 trying to back longshot no hopers at some bush track in a vain attempt of claiming what I felt was my rightful entitlement.

In hindsight I should have brought $200 of medication.

I've always been competitive and a bad loser. The neighbours often hear me abusing those "****ing ******ed midgets" that can't ride for ****...like Larry Cassidy today on Lodge The Deeds.