British Forum BETTING thread

All prices on Wlad Klitschko look pretty good value.

 

Some really juicy looking odds flying about for this card so was hoping to get some more analysis from you guys.

Lawrence Okolie v Russ Henshaw

Henshaw @ 33/1 could be worth a small change saver given recent assessment of Okolies potential. I'm expecting the saver to come in around the 8-12 fight stage for Okolie but will be monitoring his opponents from now on.

Andy Townend v John Kays.

Townend is the bookies favourite here but John Kays is a live opponent. Anybody fancy Kays @ 4/1 for the upset?

Jamie Cox v Lewis Taylor.

Cox seems comfortable here but the feather fisted Taylor looks like he can box. Taylor is 12/1 at some bookies and could be a cash out option if he can win some early rounds. Has gone the distance and come up short against good domestic operators. Does he have the potential to make this a contest?

David Allen v Lenroy Thomas.

I'm interested in this one. Thomas is available at 3/1 at most bookies and will be looking to gain that Commonwealth strap. Allen has proved his toughness before so should last the distance. Anyone know much about Thomas? He seems to have boxed well at US domestic level. Potential upset here.

George Groves v Fedor Chudinov.

I expect groves to do the business but Chudinov looks tempting at 7/2. Groves by KO/TKO/DQ is just above evens at most bookies. Chudinov by decision is 10/1. All the value here is on Chudinov but I cant see anything more than Groves win. Anyone fancy Chudinov?

Kell Brook v Errol Spence.

Kell is looking unbelievable value here and could go as high as 2/1 come fight night. A proven operator at world level and against southpaws combined with home advantage work in his favor, potential weight drain and eye injury concerns go against him. Spence is a top contender but boxing overseas for the first time against a UK crowd, Brook is by far his most dangerous opponent to date.

Spence has power and his shots to the body could point to a late stoppage. Brook however is not a quitter and has a solid chin. The big question here is if Kell has struggled to make weight? I do not think he has and will be investing accordingly.

Brook WIN 2/1 (potential)
Brook decision 4/1
Brook KO/TKO/DQ 5/1

Thoughts?

 

Groves by KO/TKO is 9/4 which is a real good shout, Chudinov got hurt by Bugolioni (albeit after the bell) and his defence is poor. Plus he is a small SMW. Brook by stoppage is also another I will be putting a lump on.

 

You missed out Kyle Yousaf v Louis Norman, good little fight that.

 

I actually think Lenroy Thomas might outpoint Allen but I think Allen would then get a gift decision.

 

I cant find any bookies offering odds on this one.

 

I'd agree, but I've been hearing Thomas only arrived in the UK yesterday which could be an issue.

 

I just don't get why fighters do that.

 

Think Groves points is the bet of the weekend. Chudinov will keep coming, I imagine cagey first 4/5 rounds.

 

It is a strange one. Might be something to do with him trying to save costs, might have had a cheaper flight, reduced hotel costs etc.

 

Groves points or Groves KO cant decide. Chudinov looks to small to get past the Groves jab so hoping Chudinov will fold in the later rounds for the KO/TKO at 9/4. Groves points currently around 4/5.

 

Yeah I had a nibble earlier in the week. Think it will take a lot for Chudinov to fold and not sure Groves will take the risks. 116-112 I'd go for...........If i was a betting man

 

Allen via (T)KO.
Groves via Decision.
Brook via Decision.

Stake: £5.
Return: £54.29.

 

I was just looking at a KO/TKO double of Brook and Groves, £5 to win £82

 

Not often you get a card with so many close fights. Actually pleased the British public dont know much about Spence, its meant that Hearn has had to fill out the card to make it PPV, which I think genuine boxing fans prefer. Decent card all round.