How accurate are you in your pre fight predictions?

I've been on a roll the last few weeks something in the 90%(I was only off on the Segura fight)

But normally my picks are as good as a coin-toss:-(

 

When it's a pick 'em fight, I've found myself to be rather poor. I'm better at picking upsets for overlooked or disregarded fighters, though.

 

I wipe my ass at night, after my PM **** and wipe away more Historical Knowledge and technical knowledge than 10 Max Kellermans. But as long as I am correct about Oscar's/Bernard's fights, I could care less about predicting them all.

 

Cotto/Margarito and Williams/Quintana I are the only instances I can recall of picking a big fight incorrectly.

 

since 03 ... i've only predicted 4 wrong pre-fight predictions ... it would take me a while to calculate the decisions but i'm on pace for a high 80's low 90's percentage wise.

wrong decisions:
Vargas v Mayorga - I picked Vargas by decision based on boxing
Cotto v Gomez - I picked Gomez based on the inconsistancy of Cotto
Cotto v Margarito - I picked Cotto because I put faith into Cotto boxing ability and Margarito's lack there of
Hopkins v Calzaghe - based on Calzaghe's lack of elite level of competition and the right hand of Hopkins.

I picked so many correct fights it doesn't make sense ...

 

I said that Mayweather v Hatton was going to be a gross replay of Mayweather's fight w/ Chavez ... and it was.

I picked Campbell to upset Diaz ... going against the norm

Quitana to upset Williams the first time, and Williams to win the rematch

I picked Vasquez to beat Marquez the second time around ...

I picked Lopez to beat Ponce De Leon by KO

I picked Santos to beat Alcine

Mora to beat Forrest

Williams over Margarito

Taylor over Hopkins I

 

If you really are PBF, you need to PM me before you place mad bets at the MGM Sportsbook. This will ensure that your boxing picks are as accurate as your NCAA, and NBA picks, and will triple your betting cash. Hopkins-Calzaghe? Wow, the right hand of Hopkins isnt fit to wipe Calzaghe's Welsh ass. And Mayorga had a style and a mouth that would draw a Mexican like Feroz into his fight. Cotto Margarito was an easy pick, because Cotto is no ****ing Trinidad.

 

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Earl versus Katsidis and Cotto versus Margarito have made me the most money recently. Two fighters who were underdogs who I clearly thought would win. Also had Corrie Sanders to KO WK.

Losing ones, Hmm Audley Harrison getting KTFO.

Moral of the story is in my opinion, don't bet on anyone crap to win, most FW fighters ranked high with the WBO are less than European Level, undefeated records mean very little in a lot of cases. A good chin usually beats a big punch, a good big one usually beats a good small one. Good power, stamina and chin are pretty handy tools when making up your mind. :thumbsup

 

Mine's usually pretty good. I usually wait for Teddy's picks and then make mine afterwards, seems to work out fine.

 

I predict over 80% of my fights correctly.

Last year I only picked one wrong fight, and that was after I changed my mind at the last minute. (Mosley/Cotto)

As long as I have know about the fighters I am judging, I generally get it right. I need to see how the fighter boxes in a fight or two before I can make an accurate prediction.

 

I just found Hopkins to win against Pavlik, 5/2 odds. Worth a punt do you think? Pavlik winning was like 4/11