RJJ didn't finish Tito off because he hurt his shoulder (or collarbone). I think you might be right on the basic idea though. I could see Oscar winning a comfortable points decision and not going all out in fear of severely hurting Pac.
Round four if he's not screwing around. Round 11 if he tried to carry him like he did Forbes but like Forbes might not actually pull it off when it comes time.
Pac will fit the canvass before hoya's first punch and stay there until the count of 10 then collect his millions the following morning.