Official Fight Betting Thread

Saunders over under is 4.5. Should go over I imagine. Input?

 

Longshot Louie: Breazeale ML + Ustinov ML + Kiladze ML. Two big stiff idiots and a glass-jawed wonder. $5 to win ~$6K. Goodbye $5.

I will have a single bet on Breazeale just waiting for the props to be released. I'm thinking RD1-3 and RD4-6. If it goes beyond that, he is either getting KO'd or losing.

I'm not seeing a ton of value this weekend, maybe the over in the Rodriguez-Inoue fight will be another one I'll be taking a look at.

 

Not a lot of value but some say easy picks

Like Russell by KO/TKO -240
Wilder by KO/TKO -265
Saunders fight over of 4.5 -210

 

I was just reading on another site a breakdown of Taylor-Baranchyk from Anthony Yigit who fought both guys (he fought Taylor as an AM). He's giving Ivan a 33% chance at pulling off the upset and he thinks it'll be by TKO. I'm thinking I'll throw a little bit down on Baranchyk by KO, since it should be in the +500 range.

 

I read a few predictions that gave him a very good shot at the win

The over of 4.5 for a Saunders fight seems like a gift. He’s not a power guy and he’s moving up in weight.

 

4.5 seems really suspect to me, everybody know BJS isn't a KO artist

 

And not that his foe is a world beater but he’s only been stopped once and has fought as high as CW.

Doesn’t seem like an easy out, at least early.

BJS has only stopped 2 of his last 12 foes. Both in the 4th.

Almost seems too good to be true.

 

Almost seems too good to be true and this is exactly why I would be cautious. Definitely don't recommend putting a big amount on it.

 

I agree but it’s -210, so it’s clear the public sees it going at least 5 1/2 rounds.

I can’t see him starching this guy THAT early.

 

I just watched Kiladze-Joyce and Austin-Alfonso and I can say with 100% certainty that Kiladze should not be +900. While Kiladze never really had a shot at beating Joyce, he was at least in the fight with his movement. Watching Alfonso (a fat tub of lard) fight an old Ray Austin (another fat tub of lard), if Kiladze is in shape he can definitely pull it off. Kiladze does seem to have stamina issues but I don't think Alfonso is a guy who is going to come forward and wear him down (like all three of the opponents Kiladze lost to). I actually think the fight will be pretty bad to watch.

Another thing, I don't think Alfonso is a big puncher. I looked at Austin's record online and he is 1-4 in his last 5 bouts. The one win came against a guy with a losing record and the other four losses, three came by TKO/KO. You know the fight where he went the distance? Yep against Alfonso.

I will be throwing some money down on Kiladze at +900.

Edit: I love this bet even more since it is only scheduled for 8 rounds.

 

Deontay Wilder wins by KO/TKO/DQ (-260) vs Dominic Breazeale $520.00 for $200.00
Deontay Wilder wins in round 1-6 (+150) $100.00 for $150.00

 

I feel DB may last 7-12...but he’s going to sleep

 

Bets:
Kila + Breazeale + Ustinov
Kila + Breazeale + Barachanynk
Kila +900 ML (I wish I took him by decision at +2000).

 

fourfold: joyce ko, saunders ko, russell jr ko, taylor ko

 

Took Wilder vs DB to NOT reach scorecards at -360 yesterday. Layed the juice

See it at -550 now