this is a tough fight to call. peter's physical conditioning seems to get worse every fight despite some techinical progress. imo, he is a far less dangerous fighter now than the one we saw against wlad. i think he might have some covert health problems. he has looked very unstable on his feet lately
Thats because he's fighting flat footed and going toe to toe with his oppenents, if you watch his fights against both Mccline and Maskaev, he was not up on his toes, even though his corner instructed him to. When you get hit by big guys like Mccline 264 and Maskaev 240 something, getting knocked off balance is whats going to happen. I agree with you regarding Peter's recent physical condition, he needs to lose some weight, I would like to see him with a new trainer in the future.
Reality check: Povetkin is a mandatory challenger who won better fights then an ancient steroid abuser and an over-the-hill champ with a glass jaw. He will win by a mile wide UD.