STATS GURU: Pacquiao's Loss Was Almost Statistically Impossible

Discussion in 'World Boxing Forum' started by ahcef, Jun 12, 2012.

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  1. purephase

    purephase Boxing Junkie Full Member

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    Rigorous analysis here.
     
    purephase, Jun 12, 2012
    #31
  2. conraddobler

    conraddobler Boxing Addict banned Full Member

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    your math is off.

    Assuming a 1/40 chance of Bradley getting the nod, the probability of 2/2 randomly selected judges scoring the fight for Bradley is the joint probability 1/40 * 1/40 = 1/1600.

    But that's not right either. Because there was a sample of 3. So we need the compute the probability that 2/3 judges scored it for bradley.

    And the probability of that happening is .0018 (I'll spare you the math)
     
    conraddobler, Jun 12, 2012
    #32
  3. Leon

    Leon The Artful Dodger Full Member

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    his stats made me rewatch rounds 8 and 11. 11 was a definite Timmeh round. emmanuel didn't do too much in 8 outside of landing 2-3 punches.

    I still stand by Timmmeh winning the 1st, 10-12th. 8 can arguably go to either.

    Timmeh at best won 5 rounds. Now only if HBO did their job right, no one would be thinking Timmeh only won like 2 rounds at most
     
    Leon, Jun 12, 2012
    #33
  4. Cellz831

    Cellz831 Obsessed with Boxing banned

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    :lol:
     
    Cellz831, Jun 12, 2012
    #34
  5. Philly-Tough

    Philly-Tough Active Member Full Member

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    How about- headphone for judges? Or someway to reduce the amount of audience noise. Put them in soundproof booths if you have to. This obviously is the not the case for this fight, but just do it anyway. Makes sense.
     
    Philly-Tough, Jun 12, 2012
    #35
  6. Phanekim

    Phanekim Well-Known Member Full Member

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    i dont think it will mean anything unless the judges views are better.
     
    Phanekim, Jun 12, 2012
    #36
  7. r2d2

    r2d2 HATERS GONNA HATE! Full Member

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    statistically youre included on the 2% stupid people to sit and drink 2% milk all day. LMAO!
     
    r2d2, Jun 12, 2012
    #37
  8. Badbot

    Badbot You can just do things.

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    :lol:
     
    Badbot, Jun 12, 2012
    #38
  9. Badbot

    Badbot You can just do things.

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    This content is protected

    Just made this. Each frame has a 0.1 second delay. You just need a high quality video and then you crop it.
     
    Badbot, Jun 12, 2012
    #39
  10. Windigo

    Windigo Boxing Addict Full Member

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    I'm pretty sure the blind 74 year old Ford would tell you all of those missed wildly because the arrogant old **** cant admit that he is too old to judge a fight.
     
    Windigo, Jun 12, 2012
    #40
  11. boxingboy

    boxingboy Well-Known Member Full Member

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    They should have 7 judges, the two highest extremes and lowest extremes should be thrown out and they should only count the 3 averages
     
    boxingboy, Jun 12, 2012
    #41
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