I'm a huge Matt Brown fan, but I think Alves is too much for him. Alves is huge and won't be easy to take down. I see Alves kicking the crap out of Brown's legs and Brown not being quick enough to stop him or to counter effectively. Brown's best hope is Alves has a tough weight cut and gasses in the second round.
The blue print on inducing a cardio failure in Alves there, I just dont think Brown has the tenacity to get it done, nor does he have the skill set IMHO. Alves is a more refined & dangerous striker, Brown's height and plodding nature will get him caught with something big in the first round I think. If not and Brown finds a way in, he will look to push Thiago's gas tank, we all know thats not a good thing for him! specially as one of Brown's strength is his engine down the stretch.