Look, Fury isn't terrible by any stretch of the imagination. It's just that he's not a huge puncher and doesn't have very good technique, which would definitely help vs Wlad. His out-of-ring antics detract from his aura as a fighter. Finally, Wlad has a good record against "big guys" and typically messes them up. None of which bodes well for Fury.
Why not.:-D Wlad is the more technically gifted and risk-averse boxer so I think he can definitely outbox Fury, and even make him look stupid in there. Fury will likely try to brawl to get to Wlad, which will either have him deposited on the canvas due to leaving openings, or looking extremely stupid as he misses wildly with wlad just stepping back. Then ofcourse youve also got immense pressure on Fury as its his first time fighting an elite guy for a world title and in a foreign country no less, so hes bound to be anxious and rush his work.
Jab, grab, lean Jab, grab, lean Jab, grab, lean etc etc etc Fury isn't the sharpest tool in the box, but he's well aware of the risks involved with being caught on the chin by Wlad.
Wlad does a bit more than merely jab&grab mate. Pulev found that out the hard way... :yep Fury gets slaughtered and you know it.